Flynn – Page 16 – FlynnDJ.com

17 November 2017

A not so good week, just not bad enough to sell. The sum of all the deviations has been 799, 731, and now 712.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 22, 13, and now 09.

Two weeks ago thought I had input the wrong data, using the Thursday close instead of Friday. Last week I very carefully made sure the Fidelity reported numbers had the correct date. They had the correct date, but the wrong data. One of my email readers reported he called Fidelity to point out the error. Seems they are slow updating the Friday numbers and do not seem at all concerned about the complete lack of accuracy of their data. I have corrected the last week numbers in this report. Not much change and no buy or sell changes.
Tonight I called Fidelity since Yahoo had the correct numbers for Fidelity funds but Fidelity did not. I had created a watch list at Fidelity and all the numbers were correct, so I updated my numbers. However the Fidelity lists on their web site for all Fidelity funds are Thursday’s numbers even though the date says today. She said she would report it.

This is an intereting seminar from Investors Business Daily – https://www.investors.com/ibd-videos/?cvid=2661266&src=A012GE5

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 97.47, a 50 day MA of 96.07, and a 200 day MA of 92.46.
The ETFs for S&P500 (capializationWeighted) index is SPY, and for the Nasdaq 100 (ModifiedCapitalizationWeighted) index is QQQ. Over the last year RSP is up 11%, SPY is up 14%, QQQ is up 23% RSP generally does better than SPY but not when 5 or 10 stocks are pulling up the whole index. QQQ is one of the ETFs available in the Florida retirement system – in the Florida retirement system you can have your funds in a defined benefit plan (like the ones blowing up in many states) or a defined contribution plan (you control the investments). I know some who are invested in QQQ for their Florida retirement plan and watching it closely. Some companies are advanced enough to even allow ETFs in their 401ks (but not HRBlock).

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 193.84, a sell price 184.15, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 126.82, a sell price 120.48, a rank of of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI)
ChinaRegion has a price of 36.28, a sell price 34.47, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.39, a sell price 10.82, and a rank of 11, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
18.39 01-08 FSELX 126.82 SSemiconductors
16.92 02-28 FHKCX 36.28 ChinaReqion Yes
15.76 03-43 FSPTX 193.84 STechnology Yes
13.87 04-26 FSEAX 44.93 EmergingAsia
13.45 05-03 FDCPX 98.78 SComputers
12.53 06-06 FPBFX 36.22 PacificBasin
11.60 07-05 FSCSX 171.43 SSoftware&ITServices
11.57 08-07 FBSOX 54.91 SITServices Yes
11.53 09-20 FPEMX 11.39 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
11.37 10-03 FEMKX 32.14 EmergingMarkets
10.84 11-01 FSRPX 128.75 SRetailing
10.63 12-10 FSCHX 183.09 SChemicals
10.55 13-04 FTQGX 23.88 FocusedStock
10.44 14-05 FOCPX 109.35 OTCPortfolio Yes
10.02 15-02 FBGRX 88.28 BlueChipGrowth Yes
9.93 16-03 FJPNX 15.33 Japan
9.79 17-30 FDSVX 33.13 Growth Discovery
9.37 18-01 FSUIX 13.10 LargeCapGrowthIndex – IC
9.37 19-02 FLGEX 18.89 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
9.15 20-17 FSDAX 163.08 SDefense&Aerospace
Last week corrected
18.91 01-07 FSELX 126.14 SSemiconductors Yes
16.70 02-27 FHKCX 35.89 ChinaReqion Yes
15.62 03-42 FSPTX 192.00 STechnology Yes
14.33 04-25 FSEAX 44.78 EmergingAsia
14.11 05-02 FDCPX 98.65 SComputers Yes
12.62 06-05 FPBFX 36.01 PacificBasin Yes
12.22 07-04 FSCSX 171.33 SSoftware&ITServices
11.54 08-06 FBSOX 54.56 SITServices
11.13 09-19 FPEMX 11.28 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.73 10-16 FSDAX 164.65 SDefense&Aerospace
10.70 11-09 FSCHX 182.18 SChemicals
10.57 12-01 FSENX 43.08 SEnergy Yes
10.54 13-04 FOCPX 108.85 OTCPortfolio
10.53 14-02 FFGCX 12.76 GlobalCommodityStock
10.37 15-02 FJPNX 15.31 Japan Yes
10.27 16-02 FEMKX 31.63 EmergingMarkets
10.20 17-01 FBGRX 87.96 BlueChipGrowth Yes
10.15 18-03 FTQGX 23.66 FocusedStock
9.89 19-29 FDSVX 32.99 Growth Discovery
9.93 20-03 FTQGX 23.61 FocusedStock

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Sep17 1m+1% 3m+10% 6m+14% 12m+9% 24m+34% 36m+20% 60m+94% 120m-16%
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(30Oct17 from SBiotechnology(FBIOX)
20% – ChinaRegion(FHKCX)(16Oct17) from OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(09Oct17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Sep17 1m+0% 3m+3% 6m+4% 12m+9% 24m+17% 36m+19% 60m+25% 120m+10%
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

10 November 2017

A not so good week, just not bad enough to sell. The sum of all the deviations has been 765, 799, and now 744.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 15, 22, and now 12.
So last weekend I forgot the date, thought Friday was 11/02, and thus ended up using the wrong closing numbers. I have fixed this week’s report to correctly report results based on the correct numbers for last week. I’d like to blame it on Fidelity, but I think the error was all mine. The results were not significant with no change in buy or sell. Feel free to let me know if you find any errors in this report.

The Trump market rally is now a year old. The DJIA index (ETF DIA) is up 30%, the S&P500 index (ETF SPY) is up 23%, and the Nasdaq 100 (ETF QQQ) is up 32%. Generally the first year of any president’s term is a down market year. For whatever reason it has not happened, yet. I have been convinced for some time it will happen soon, I just do not know how soon. Please watch your investments. In my 20 Oct I provided a URL to a youtube video. The title of the video was Edge of The Cliff. I’ve been watching it again and was impressed with the fact that Real Vision produced the video to warn investors. They had the same warnings in 2008 but the media, banks, and brokers were not interested. I have not heard about from the media, banks, or brokers this time either.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.90, a 50 day MA of 95.65, and a 200 day MA of 92.22

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 191.04, a sell price 181.49, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 125.71, a sell price 119.42, a rank of of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI)
ChinaRegion has a price of 35.69, a sell price 33.91, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.33, a sell price 10.76, and a rank of 08, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO)
I generally do my own ETF analysis Sunday evenings. I have been too busy lately to do part of it earlier, so I am going to let you compute your owns stoploss levels. I use 7% from the latest high close, but that is just a percentage which I think works for me.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
18.53 01-07 FSELX 125.71 SSemiconductors Yes
16.09 02-27 FHKCX 35.69 ChinaReqion Yes
15.08 03-42 FSPTX 191.04 STechnology Yes
14.18 04-25 FSEAX 44.72 EmergingAsia
14.08 05-02 FDCPX 98.62 SComputers Yes
12.80 06-05 FPBFX 36.07 PacificBasin Yes
12.24 07-04 FSCSX 171.36 SSoftware&ITServices
11.59 08-19 FPEMX 11.33 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
11.54 09-06 FBSOX 54.56 SITServices
11.04 10-16 FSDAX 165.13 SDefense&Aerospace
10.87 11-09 FSCHX 182.48 SChemicals
10.78 12-02 FJPNX 15.37 Japan Yes
10.76 13-01 FSENX 43.16 SEnergy Yes
10.69 14-02 FFGCX 12.78 GlobalCommodityStock
10.53 15-02 FEMKX 31.71 EmergingMarkets
10.44 16-01 FSNGX 24.76 SNaturalGas Yes
10.39 17-04 FOCPX 108.70 OTCPortfolio
10.03 18-03 FJSCX 19.00 JapanSmallerCompanies
9.95 19-29 FDSVX 33.01 Growth Discovery
9.93 20-03 FTQGX 23.61 FocusedStock
Last week
18.51 01-06 FSELX 124.46 SSemiconductors Yes
15.53 02-41 FSPTX 190.27 STechnology Yes
14.71 03-26 FHKCX 34.97 ChinaReqion
14.14 04-24 FSEAX 44.37 EmergingAsia
13.59 05-01 FDCPX 97.47 SComputers Yes
13.17 06-03 FSCSX 171.67 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
12.81 07-15 FSDAX 166.79 SDefense&Aerospace
12.24 08-04 FPBFX 35.65 PacificBasin
12.18 09-08 FSCHX 183.58 SChemicals
11.66 10-06 FBSOX 54.29 SITServices Yes
11.58 11-18 FPEMX 11.26 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
11.18 12-03 FOCPX 108.87 OTCPortfolio Yes
11.12 13-07 FSVLX 15.65 SConsumerFinance
10.76 14-28 FDSVX 33.08 Growth Discovery
10.74 15-02 FTQGX 23.66 FocusedStock Yes
10.71 16-01 FFGCX 12.71 GlobalCommodityStock
10.63 17-02 FCNTX 127.51 Contrafund Yes
10.61 18-01 FJPNX 15.26 Japan Yes
10.60 19-01 FBGRX 87.81 BlueChipGrowth Yes
10.37 20-01 FEMKX 31.49 EmergingMarkets

03 November 2017

A sort of good week, just not quite good enough to buy. The sum of all the deviations has been 810, 765, and now 779.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 10, 15, and now 12.
It looks like on last week’s report, I did not know what month it was. The return numbers and balances I quoted were all for September.

On The Dutram Report (19Oct) podcasts from Zacks Investment Research Eric Dutram suggests 5 ETFs to Buy and Hold for 5 years. He suggests SNSR (Global X Internet of Things ETF), ASHR (Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI China A ETF). EES (Wisdon Tree US SmallCap Earnings ETF), EZU (iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF), KRE (SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF). Eric Dutram has been at Zacks many years and just left. I went looking for were is going next, but Facebook only contains pictures about his current tour of Europe. He seems to like beer.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.73, 50 day MA of 95.17, a 200 day MA of 91.99, and a 7% stop loss is 90.59.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 189.23, a sell price 179.77, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – stoploss 56.56)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 122.06, a sell price 115.96, a rank of of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI stoploss 50.31)
ChinaRegion has a price of 34.93, a sell price 33.18, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE- stoploss 77.22 )
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.29, a sell price 10.73, and a rank of 10, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 21.22)
I sold SBiotechnology for a loss of 3.34% and the ETF was sold for a loss of 4.33%. The mutual fund did better than the ETF this time.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
16.35 01-06 FSELX 122.06 SSemiconductors Yes
14.93 02-41 FSPTX 189.23 STechnology Yes
14.59 03-26 FHKCX 34.93 ChinaReqion
14.19 04-24 FSEAX 44.39 EmergingAsia
13.14 05-15 FSDAX 167.30 SDefense&Aerospace
12.91 06-03 FSCSX 171.25 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
12.91 07-01 FDCPX 96.85 SComputers Yes
12.68 08-08 FSCHX 184.44 SChemicals
12.42 09-04 FPBFX 35.71 PacificBasin
11.86 10-18 FPEMX 11.29 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
11.49 11-05 FBSOX 54.20 SITServices
11.46 12-07 FSVLX 15.70 SConsumerFinance
10.87 13-01 FFGCX 12.73 GlobalCommodityStock
10.71 14-01 FEMKX 31.59 EmergingMarkets
10.67 15-28 FDSVX 33.05 Growth Discovery
10.47 16-01 FJPNX 15.24 Japan Yes
10.25 17-02 FCNTX 127.05 Contrafund
10.16 18-02 FJSCX 18.92 JapanSmallerCompanies Yes
10.12 19-06 FCPGX 24.65 SmallCapGrowth
10.12 20-02 FTQGX 23.52 FocusedStock
Last week
15.10 01-05 FSELX 119.71 SSemiconductors
14.46 02-40 FSPTX 186.97 STechnology
13.76 03-25 FHKCX 34.41 ChinaReqion
13.37 04-07 FSCHX 184.33 SChemicals
12.87 05-02 FSCSX 170.03 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
12.64 06-23 FSEAX 43.46 EmergingAsia
12.53 07-14 FSDAX 165.26 SDefense&Aerospace
12.35 08-06 FSVLX 15.73 SConsumerFinance Yes
11.80 09-03 FPBFX 35.28 PacificBasin
11.65 10-04 FBSOX 53.95 SITServices Yes
11.13 11-27 FDSVX 33.00 Growth Discovery
11.07 12-17 FPEMX 11.14 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.68 13-04 FSDPX 92.76 SMaterials
10.62 14-05 FCPGX 24.63 SmallCapGrowth
10.52 15-01 FTQGX 23.48 FocusedStock Yes
10.44 16-01 FCNTX 126.58 Contrafund Yes
10.24 17-02 FOCPX 107.32 OTCPortfolio
10.15 18-01 FSUIX 12.99 LargeCapGrowthIndex – IC Yes
9.96 19-01 FLGEX 18.70 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex Yes
9.87 20-01 FJSCX 18.77 JapanSmallerCompanies

27 October 2017

Not a good week week, maybe time to sell something. The sum of all the deviations has been 825, 810, and now 765.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 37, 10, and now 15.

On Erik Townsend’s 21Sep Macro Vision podcast, he interviewed Mark Grant. They discussed the pension crisis indicating it is mathematically impossible for many state pensions and even some private pensions to pay the retirees the retirement they promised. They just do not have enough assets in the pension plan and most are counting on a 7%+ annual rate of return. California is decreasing (some by 100%) the pensions of various municipal retirees who did not have fully fund pensions. The other 10 worst states are New Jersey, Kentucky, Illinois, Connecticut, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, South Carolina, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts. These states are in worst condition this year then last year due to increased liabilities. Even Florida, not one of the 10 worst, is counting on a 7.6% return (in the latest annual reporting the return was 0.54%) and if they get it, expect to be able to pay only 85.4% on it’s pension obligations. Obviously no one should count on any promised pension.

August returns for IRA#1 1%, IRA#2 0%, QQQ -1%, SPY/RSP +3%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 10%, IRA#2 3%, QQQ 6%, SPY/RSP 3%
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 14%, IRA#2 4%, QQQ 10%, SPY/RSP 6%
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 9%, IRA#2 9%, QQQ 23%, SPY/RSP 15%
July portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None – Invested 100% in FSPTX
IRA#2 – None – Invested 20% in FSELX, FDCPX, FSPTX, FPEMX, and in cash
QQQ – None – Invested 100% in QQQ
SPY/RSP – None – Invested 100% in RSP
If this type of performance continues, I may just give up on mutual funds and stay invested in QQQ, or SPY/RSP.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.87, 50 day MA of 94.68, a 200 day MA of 91.74, and a 7% stop loss is
90.59.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 186.97, a sell price 177.62, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – stoploss 56.40)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 119.71, a sell price 113.72, a rank of of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI stoploss 49.72)
ChinaRegion has a price of 34.41, a sell price 32.75, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE- stoploss 77.22 )
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.14, a sell price 10.72, and a rank of 12, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.54)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 219.44, a sell price 223.65, a rank of 89, and is a sell. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss was hit and sold for a 4.33% loss on 10/26)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – Sell SBiotechnology

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev
increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
15.10 01-05 FSELX 119.71 SSemiconductors
14.46 02-40 FSPTX 186.97 STechnology
13.76 03-25 FHKCX 34.41 ChinaReqion
13.37 04-07 FSCHX 184.33 SChemicals
12.87 05-02 FSCSX 170.03 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
12.64 06-23 FSEAX 43.46 EmergingAsia
12.53 07-14 FSDAX 165.26 SDefense&Aerospace
12.35 08-06 FSVLX 15.73 SConsumerFinance Yes
11.80 09-03 FPBFX 35.28 PacificBasin
11.65 10-04 FBSOX 53.95 SITServices Yes
11.13 11-27 FDSVX 33.00 Growth Discovery
11.07 12-17 FPEMX 11.14 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.68 13-04 FSDPX 92.76 SMaterials
10.62 14-05 FCPGX 24.63 SmallCapGrowth
10.52 15-01 FTQGX 23.48 FocusedStock Yes
10.44 16-01 FCNTX 126.58 Contrafund Yes
10.24 17-02 FOCPX 107.32 OTCPortfolio
10.15 18-01 FSUIX 12.99 LargeCapGrowthIndex – IC Yes
9.96 19-01 FLGEX 18.70 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex Yes
9.87 20-01 FJSCX 18.77 JapanSmallerCompanies
Last week
14.79 01-24 FHKCX 34.47 ChinaReqion
14.42 02-13 FSDAX 166.92 SDefense&Aerospace
13.93 03-39 FSPTX 184.68 STechnology
13.23 04-22 FSEAX 43.40 EmergingAsia
12.66 05-06 FSCHX 181.89 SChemicals
12.42 06-16 FPEMX 11.21 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.33 07-04 FSELX 115.90 SSemiconductors
12.18 08-02 FPBFX 35.18 PacificBasin
12.00 09-05 FSVLX 15.58 SConsumerFinance
11.46 10-03 FBSOX 53.53 SITServices Yes
11.36 11-05 FSAIX 87.55 SAirTransportation
11.28 12-01 FSCSX 166.50 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
11.16 13-04 FCPGX 24.61 SmallCapGrowth
11.15 14-11 FLATX 26.14 LatinAmerica
11.11 15-09 FFGCX 12.62 GlobalCommodityStock
10.99 16-29 FEMKX 31.33 EmergingMarkets
10.75 17-04 FSLBX 81.11 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.36 18-26 FDSVX 32.58 Growth Discovery
10.30 19-03 FSDPX 91.92 SMaterials
10.22 20-01 FOCPX 106.72 OTCPortfolio

20 October 2017

Another almost good week, time to do nothing. The sum of all the deviations has been 799, 825, and now 810.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 49, 37, and now 10.

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” George Santayana.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBJ-p0ybhzs&t=56s
In the podcast which talks about this video, Adventures in Finance “38 – Black Monday: First Hand Accounts of the 87 Crash”, one of the those interviewed indicated he felt the bankruptcy of the Illinois state pension plan would be the item which starts the crash this time.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.54, 50 day MA of 93.85, a 200 day MA of 91.23, and a 7% stop loss is 89.92.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 184.88, a sell price 175.45, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – stoploss 56.40)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 115.90, a sell price 110.11, a rank of of 12, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI stoploss 49.72)
ChinaRegion has a price of 34.47, a sell price 32.75, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE- stoploss 77.22 )
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.21, a sell price 10.72, and a rank of 06, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.64)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 227.58, a sell price 223.65, a rank of 30, and is a hold until a buy day happens. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.69)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev
increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
14.79 01-24 FHKCX 34.47 ChinaReqion
14.42 02-13 FSDAX 166.92 SDefense&Aerospace
13.93 03-39 FSPTX 184.68 STechnology
13.23 04-22 FSEAX 43.40 EmergingAsia
12.66 05-06 FSCHX 181.89 SChemicals
12.42 06-16 FPEMX 11.21 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.33 07-04 FSELX 115.90 SSemiconductors
12.18 08-02 FPBFX 35.18 PacificBasin
12.00 09-05 FSVLX 15.58 SConsumerFinance
11.46 10-03 FBSOX 53.53 SITServices Yes
11.36 11-05 FSAIX 87.55 SAirTransportation
11.28 12-01 FSCSX 166.50 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
11.16 13-04 FCPGX 24.61 SmallCapGrowth
11.15 14-11 FLATX 26.14 LatinAmerica
11.11 15-09 FFGCX 12.62 GlobalCommodityStock
10.99 16-29 FEMKX 31.33 EmergingMarkets
10.75 17-04 FSLBX 81.11 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.36 18-26 FDSVX 32.58 Growth Discovery
10.30 19-03 FSDPX 91.92 SMaterials
10.22 20-01 FOCPX 106.72 OTCPortfolio
Last week
15.52 01-23 FHKCX 34.42 ChinaReqion Yes
14.34 02-38 FSPTX 183.99 STechnology Yes
14.18 03-12 FSDAX 165.31 SDefense&Aerospace
13.87 04-15 FPEMX 11.28 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
13.45 05-05 FSCHX 181.95 SChemicals
13.37 06-21 FSEAX 43.15 EmergingAsia Yes
13.30 07-10 FLATX 26.49 LatinAmerica
12.51 08-01 FPBFX 35.06 PacificBasin Yes
12.47 09-08 FFGCX 12.70 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
12.37 10-03 FSELX 115.18 SSemiconductors Yes
12.28 11-28 FEMKX 31.51 EmergingMarkets Yes
11.79 12-04 FSAIX 87.36 SAirTransportation Yes
11.35 13-08 FBIOX 231.35 SBiotechnology
11.13 14-03 FCPGX 24.46 SmallCapGrowth
11.11 15-02 FBSOX 53.04 SITServices Yes
10.88 16-03 FSLBX 80.75 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.86 17-01 FISMX 29.84 InternationalSmallCap
10.62 18-25 FDSVX 32.48 Growth Discovery
10.58 19-02 FSDPX 91.66 SMaterials Yes
10.55 20-04 FSVLX 15.28 SConsumerFinance

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – ChinaRegion(FHKCX)(16Oct17) from OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(09Oct17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

13 October 2017

Another good week, time to buy something. The sum of all the deviations has been 726, 799, and now 823.
The twice a week report I am still getting from James Rohrbach, Investment-Models.com, still says buy NYSE and buy Nasdaq. He has had the same buy signals since 8-31-17.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 27, 49, and now 37.

Fidelity did not have an up to date distribution list this week and some of their funds had distributions. Not only that, when you reviewed details about the individual fund, the distribution was not listed there either. It did show up in the daily quote list, but only listed it as a dividend. Fund distributions can be dividends, capital gains, interest, and other, a total number is needed. When I called Fidelity they had no excuse (AGAIN).

On the 05Oct Super Investors podcast by Jesse Felder, the guest Danielle DiMartio Booth was commenting on the federal reserve board (FED) where she previoulsy worked. She pointed out that all of FED managers have come from academia with NO private enterprise experience. She refered to the current bubbles in everything and indicate when the confidence bubble finally bursts, all the other bubbles will – markets, home mortgages, debt, home prices, etc. Capitalism requires creative destruction (bankruptcy) of those companies which cannot make it. However the FED with their zero interest rates have eliminated creative destruction by allowing companies, which should be bankrupt, borrow at excessively low interest rates to stay in business. She points out when the bubbles start to burst, the public will by complaining loudly cause the DC idiots (also known as the executive, legislative, and judicial branch who do nothing) to demand the FED to save us by printing more money. Thus the bubble gets bigger and the end results worse. Another thing the excessively low interest rates have done is eliminate savings allowing companies borrow more and thus pay their executives more. Savings from the middle class into the income of the richer class.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.54, 50 day MA of 93.85, a 200 day MA of 91.23, and a 7% stop loss is 89.92.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 183.99, a sell price 174.79, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – stoploss 55.73)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 115.18, a sell price 100.42, a rank of of 10, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI forgot to buy this but will this Monday)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 106.37, a sell price 101.05, a rank of 22, and is a sell. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 90.47 )
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.28, a sell price 10.72, and a rank of 04. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.64)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 231.35, a sell price 223.65, a rank of 13, and is a hold. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.69)
Since it is a buy week, and OTCPortfolio is not one of my top 20 funds so I am selling it and investing in ChinaRegion. The only problem with ChinaReqion is that it has a early selling fee of 1.5% if sold withing 90 days of the purchase.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – exchange OTCPortfolio into ChinaReqion

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
15.52 01-23 FHKCX 34.42 ChinaReqion Yes
14.34 02-38 FSPTX 183.99 STechnology Yes
14.18 03-12 FSDAX 165.31 SDefense&Aerospace
13.87 04-15 FPEMX 11.28 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
13.45 05-05 FSCHX 181.95 SChemicals
13.37 06-21 FSEAX 43.15 EmergingAsia Yes
13.30 07-10 FLATX 26.49 LatinAmerica
12.51 08-01 FPBFX 35.06 PacificBasin Yes
12.47 09-08 FFGCX 12.70 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
12.37 10-03 FSELX 115.18 SSemiconductors Yes
12.28 11-28 FEMKX 31.51 EmergingMarkets Yes
11.79 12-04 FSAIX 87.36 SAirTransportation Yes
11.35 13-08 FBIOX 231.35 SBiotechnology
11.13 14-03 FCPGX 24.46 SmallCapGrowth
11.11 15-02 FBSOX 53.04 SITServices Yes
10.88 16-03 FSLBX 80.75 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.86 17-01 FISMX 29.84 InternationalSmallCap
10.62 18-25 FDSVX 32.48 Growth Discovery
10.58 19-02 FSDPX 91.66 SMaterials Yes
10.55 20-04 FSVLX 15.28 SConsumerFinance
Last week
14.78 01-11 FSDAX 164.94 SDefense&Aerospace
14.41 02-22 FHKCX 33.81 ChinaReqion
14.06 03-09 FLATX 26.48 LatinAmerica
13.99 04-07 FBIOX 235.42 SBiotechnology Yes
13.84 05-37 FSPTX 181.80 STechnology
13.63 06-04 FSCHX 180.94 SChemicals
12.37 07-14 FPEMX 11.05 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.19 08-02 FSELX 114.25 SSemiconductors Yes
11.70 09-07 FFGCX 12.53 GlobalCommodityStock
11.69 10-02 FCPGX 24.44 SmallCapGrowth Yes
11.51 11-03 FSAIX 86.60 SAirTransportation Yes
11.11 12-20 FSEAX 41.99 EmergingAsia
10.98 13-02 FSLBX 80.36 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
10.94 14-03 FSVLX 15.25 SConsumerFinance
10.75 15-27 FEMKX 30.88 EmergingMarkets
10.70 16-24 FDSVX 32.32 Growth Discovery
10.51 17-02 FOCPX 105.84 OTCPortfolio Yes
10.40 18-01 FSDPX 91.00 SMaterials
10.02 19-01 FBSOX 52.21 SITServices
9.84 20-02 FSSPX 20.41 SmallCapIndex – IC Yes

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – ChinaRegion(FHKCX)(16Oct17) from OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(10Oct17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

06 October 2017

It was a good week, time to buy something. The sum of all the deviations has been 725, 726, and now 799.
The twice a week report I am getting from James Rohrbach, Investment-Models.com, still says buy NYSE and buy Nasdaq. This is the same as last week. I signed up for his free two month report.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 41, 27, and now 49.

On the 21 September podcast from Adventures in Finance, Jim Rogers talks about his trips around the world and the way he invests. He thinks China has the best markets in the future, he hopes he can sell out if a bubble bursts, and then buy back in near the bottom. It is interesting that during the market crash on 19 October 1987, he was short and thus made money when the market fell by 22% in one day. Investopedia.com claims “The cause of the stock market crash of 1987 was primarily program trading, used by institutions to protect themselves from significant market weakness. Some secondary factors included excessive valuations, illiquid markets and market psychology.” Sounds sort of like the market today.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.49, 50 day MA of 93.58, a 200 day MA of 90.98, and a 7% stop loss is 89.92.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 181.80, a sell price 172.71, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss 54.76)
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 90.04, a sell price 85.54, a rank of of 57, and is a sell for a better fund. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 105.84, a sell price 100.55, a rank of 17, and is a hold. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 90.29)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.05, a sell price 10.50, and a rank of 07. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.24)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 235.42, a sell price 223.65, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.69)
Since it is a buy week, and SComputers is not one of my top 20 funds so I am selling it and investing in SSemiconductors. SSemiconductors is only the #8 best fund, but it is the second highest ranking “buy” fund in my top 20. The highest ranking “buy” fund is SBiotechnology which I own. The other 6 funds ranking higher than SSemiconductors do not have a 2 week improved deviation – an indication their price increase may be slowing.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – Purchase SSemiconductors from SComputers

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
14.78 01-11 FSDAX 164.94 SDefense&Aerospace
14.41 02-22 FHKCX 33.81 ChinaReqion
14.06 03-09 FLATX 26.48 LatinAmerica
13.99 04-07 FBIOX 235.42 SBiotechnology Yes
13.84 05-37 FSPTX 181.80 STechnology
13.63 06-04 FSCHX 180.94 SChemicals
12.37 07-14 FPEMX 11.05 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.19 08-02 FSELX 114.25 SSemiconductors Yes
11.70 09-07 FFGCX 12.53 GlobalCommodityStock
11.69 10-02 FCPGX 24.44 SmallCapGrowth Yes
11.51 11-03 FSAIX 86.60 SAirTransportation Yes
11.11 12-20 FSEAX 41.99 EmergingAsia
10.98 13-02 FSLBX 80.36 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
10.94 14-03 FSVLX 15.25 SConsumerFinance
10.75 15-27 FEMKX 30.88 EmergingMarkets
10.70 16-24 FDSVX 32.32 Growth Discovery
10.51 17-02 FOCPX 105.84 OTCPortfolio Yes
10.40 18-01 FSDPX 91.00 SMaterials
10.02 19-01 FBSOX 52.21 SITServices
9.84 20-02 FSSPX 20.41 SmallCapIndex – IC Yes
Last week
13.54 01-06 FBIOX 232.77 SBiotechnology
13.35 02-10 FSDAX 161.61 SDefense&Aerospace
12.91 03-08 FLATX 26.02 LatinAmerica
12.01 04-21 FHKCX 32.85 ChinaReqion
11.98 05-36 FSPTX 177.53 STechnology
11.37 06-03 FSCHX 176.07 SChemicals
11.32 07-06 FFGCX 12.41 GlobalCommodityStock
11.00 08-02 FSVLX 15.17 SConsumerFinance Yes
10.85 09-13 FPEMX 10.83 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.45 10-01 FSELX 111.76 SSemiconductors
10.39 11-01 FSRFX 101.37 STransportation Yes
10.22 12-01 FCPGX 23.97 SmallCapGrowth Yes
10.20 13-12 FISMX 29.34 InternationalSmallCap
9.71 14-01 FSLBX 78.98 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
9.66 15-19 FSEAX 41.20 EmergingAsia
9.61 16-26 FEMKX 30.39 EmergingMarkets
9.53 17-02 FSAIX 84.55 SAirTransportation Yes
9.46 18-23 FDSVX 31.78 Growth Discovery
9.36 19-01 FOCPX 104.16 OTCPortfolio
9.29 20-12 FPBFX 33.66 PacificBasin

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(10Oct17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)(15May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

29 September 2017

It was a good week, just barely short of a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 731, 695, and now 726.
The twice a week report I am getting from James Rohrbach, Investment-Models.com, still says buy NYSE and buy Nasdaq. This is the same as last week. I signed up for his free two month report.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 24, 41, and now 27.
66% of the stocks on the NYSE are bullish and 62% of the stocks on the Nasdaq are bullish. Those numbers are within a couple percent of the previous peaks. So the market is near a high based on this indicator.

On the 14Sep Money Life show, Chuck Jaffe featured an interview with credit expert Gerri Detweiler discussing the Equifax data breach. The discussion started at about 15 minutes into the show. Ms. Detweiler suggested freezing your credit accounts at the three credit bureaus may not be the best thing to do. She has placed a fraud alert on her accounts. I did a check with Equifax, found out my data was stolen, signed up for their free credit protection, and placed a free 90 day fraud alert on my accounts. Since my wife has a better credit score than I do, I plan to do the same for her. If you have children, you may want to check them also. One of the points Ms. Detweiler made was that this data (mother’s maiden name, previous address, drivers licence numbers, etc.) is generally data which does not change and can be used in a couple of years as easily as it can be used today. You can get a free copy of your credit report at www.annualcreditreport.com – so if you get one today from Equifax, you can request another one from Experian in 4 months, then Transunion 4 months later, and Equifax again 4 months later.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 95.54, 50 day MA of 93.34, a 200 day MA of 90.74, and a 7% stop loss is 88.85.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 177.53, a sell price 169.55, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss 54.66)
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 89.45, a sell price 88.54, a rank of of 53, and is a hold for now. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 104.16, a sell price 98.95, a rank of 19, and is a hold. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 88.98)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 10.83, a sell price 10.48, and a rank of 09. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.24)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 232.77, a sell price 221.13, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.22)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
13.54 01-06 FBIOX 232.77 SBiotechnology
13.35 02-10 FSDAX 161.61 SDefense&Aerospace
12.91 03-08 FLATX 26.02 LatinAmerica
12.01 04-21 FHKCX 32.85 ChinaReqion
11.98 05-36 FSPTX 177.53 STechnology
11.37 06-03 FSCHX 176.07 SChemicals
11.32 07-06 FFGCX 12.41 GlobalCommodityStock
11.00 08-02 FSVLX 15.17 SConsumerFinance Yes
10.85 09-13 FPEMX 10.83 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.45 10-01 FSELX 111.76 SSemiconductors
10.39 11-01 FSRFX 101.37 STransportation Yes
10.22 12-01 FCPGX 23.97 SmallCapGrowth Yes
10.20 13-12 FISMX 29.34 InternationalSmallCap
9.71 14-01 FSLBX 78.98 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
9.66 15-19 FSEAX 41.20 EmergingAsia
9.61 16-26 FEMKX 30.39 EmergingMarkets
9.53 17-02 FSAIX 84.55 SAirTransportation Yes
9.46 18-23 FDSVX 31.78 Growth Discovery
9.36 19-01 FOCPX 104.16 OTCPortfolio
9.29 20-12 FPBFX 33.66 PacificBasin
Last week
15.52 01-07 FLATX 26.44 LatinAmerica
14.20 02-20 FHKCX 33.28 ChinaReqion
13.70 03-09 FSDAX 160.97 SDefense&Aerospace Yes
13.55 04-12 FPEMX 11.03 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.44 05-35 FSPTX 177.14 STechnology
11.98 06-05 FFGCX 12.41 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
11.96 07-05 FBIOX 227.90 SBiotechnology
11.87 08-25 FEMKX 30.86 EmergingMarkets
11.79 09-18 FSEAX 41.79 EmergingAsia
11.43 10-02 FSCHX 175.12 SChemicals Yes
10.99 11-06 FIVFX 20.98 InternationalCapApp Yes
10.38 12-11 FISMX 29.23 InternationalSmallCap
10.09 13-11 FPBFX 33.74 PacificBasin
10.00 14-10 FIGRX 46.28 InternationalDiscovery
9.83 15-10 FTIEX 9.25 TotalInternationalEquity
9.67 16-01 FBSOX 51.53 SITServices Yes
9.50 17-06 FEDDX 14.96 EmergingMarketsDiscovery
9.49 18-22 FDSVX 31.63 Growth Discovery
9.47 19-01 FSAIX 84.08 SAirTransportation Yes
9.29 20-01 FSVLX 14.85 SConsumerFinance Yes

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)(15May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

22 September 2017

It was an OK week, not bad enough to sell and just barely short of a buy. The sum of all the deviations has been 643, 731, and this week 695.
The twice a week report I am getting from James Rohrbach, Investment-Models.com, says buy NYSE and buy Nasdaq.
Last week 25 funds were rated buy due to a two week improving deviation. This week the number is 41.
If it had been a buy week, I would have sold SComputers – lowest rank of the funds I own – and purchased SDefense&Aerospace.
While LatinAmerican and ChinaReqion have higher ratings than SDefense&Aerospace, their deviation (uptrend momentum) is decreasing.
Last week I made error when I overlooked a distribution for OTCPortfolio. I have updated last week’s numbers below.

August returns for IRA#1 4%, IRA#2 2%, QQQ 2%, SPY/RSP -1% – not a bad month.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 7%, IRA#2 1%, QQQ 4%, SPY/RSP 2%
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 5%, IRA#2 3%, QQQ 13%, SPY/RSP 3%
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 9%, IRA#2 10%, QQQ 26%, SPY/RSP 12%
July portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None – Invested 100% in FSPTX
IRA#2 – Sold FDLSX on 01Aug, Purchased FPEMX on 18Aug. Invested 20% in FSELX, FDCPX, FSPTX, FPEMX, and in cash
QQQ – None – Invested 100% in QQQ
SPY/RSP – None – Invested 100% in RSP

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 94.55, 50 day MA of 93.17, a 200 day MA of 90.54, and a 7% stop loss is 87.93.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 177.14, a sell price 169.55, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss 54.66)
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 89.51, a sell price 88.54, a rank of of 41, and is a hold for now. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 102.91, a sell price 95.95, a rank of 25, and is a hold for now. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 88.48)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.03, a sell price 10.48, and a rank of 04. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.24)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 227.90, a sell price 217.35, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.22)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

I overlooked a distribution for OTCPortfolio last week. I have adjusted last week’s data and as a result this weeks data to include that distribution.
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
15.52 01-07 FLATX 26.44 LatinAmerica
14.20 02-20 FHKCX 33.28 ChinaReqion
13.70 03-09 FSDAX 160.97 SDefense&Aerospace Yes
13.55 04-12 FPEMX 11.03 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.44 05-35 FSPTX 177.14 STechnology
11.98 06-05 FFGCX 12.41 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
11.96 07-05 FBIOX 227.90 SBiotechnology
11.87 08-25 FEMKX 30.86 EmergingMarkets
11.79 09-18 FSEAX 41.79 EmergingAsia
11.43 10-02 FSCHX 175.12 SChemicals Yes
10.99 11-06 FIVFX 20.98 InternationalCapApp Yes
10.38 12-11 FISMX 29.23 InternationalSmallCap
10.09 13-11 FPBFX 33.74 PacificBasin
10.00 14-10 FIGRX 46.28 InternationalDiscovery
9.83 15-10 FTIEX 9.25 TotalInternationalEquity
9.67 16-01 FBSOX 51.53 SITServices Yes
9.50 17-06 FEDDX 14.96 EmergingMarketsDiscovery
9.49 18-22 FDSVX 31.63 Growth Discovery
9.47 19-01 FSAIX 84.08 SAirTransportation Yes
9.29 20-01 FSVLX 14.85 SConsumerFinance Yes
Last week
16.91 01-06 FLATX 26.54 LatinAmerica Yes
14.50 02-19 FHKCX 33.12 ChinaReqion
14.26 03-11 FPEMX 11.02 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
14.03 04-34 FSPTX 178.47 STechnology
13.11 05-04 FBIOX 228.79 SBiotechnology
12.22 06-17 FSEAX 41.69 EmergingAsia
12.10 07-24 FEMKX 30.73 EmergingMarkets
11.15 08-04 FFGCX 12.24 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
11.02 09-10 FISMX 29.24 InternationalSmallCap
11.01 10-05 FEDDX 15.09 EmergingMarketsDiscovery Yes
10.67 11-01 FSCHX 172.87 SChemicals
10.42 12-10 FPBFX 33.66 PacificBasin Yes
10.40 13-12 FOCPX 104.16 OTCPortfolio
10.28 14-21 FDSVX 31.70 Growth Discovery
10.20 15-09 FIGRX 46.12 InternationalDiscovery Yes
10.14 16-05 FIVFX 20.70 InternationalCapApp Yes
10.08 17-08 FSDAX 154.73 SDefense&Aerospace
10.04 18-09 FTIEX 9.22 TotalInternationalEquity Yes
9.64 19-0 FSCOX 18.36 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities Yes
9.60 20-01 FSELX 109.78 SSemiconductors

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)(15May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

15 September 2017

So hurricane Irma killed the power at my house and the UVerse from ATT (Phone, cable, internet).
The power came back in 2 days. The UVerse has now been out 7 days and waiting – no phone, cable, or internet.
The office where I work has only half power so no air, no work stations, and only some lights. I go in every day to see if there has been a change. The whole mall is that way with half power (7 days and counting) except for Publix with its own generator. The Food Shack restaurant is serving out of a food trunk in the parking lot.

All in all a good week in the market. I waited longer to finish this in hope of getting UVerse back – I am not thrilled with ATT

So I have had only limited access to get some data and only worked to the the vital numbers. The rest of the numbers I hope to have back by next week, unless Maria hits.

My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of ??, 50 day MA of ??, a 200 day MA of ??, and a 7% stop loss is ??.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 178.47, a sell price 169.55, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss ?)
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 90.04, a sell price 88.54, a rank of of 27, and is a hold for now. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 104.16, a sell price 102.80, a rank of 67, and is a hold. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss ?)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.02, a sell price 10.47, and a rank of 03. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss ?)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 228.79, a sell price 217.35, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss ?)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
16.91 01-06 FLATX 26.54 LatinAmerica Yes
14.50 02-19 FHKCX 33.12 ChinaReqion
14.26 03-11 FPEMX 11.02 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
14.03 04-34 FSPTX 178.47 STechnology
13.11 05-04 FBIOX 228.79 SBiotechnology
12.22 06-17 FSEAX 41.69 EmergingAsia
12.10 07-24 FEMKX 30.73 EmergingMarkets
11.15 08-04 FFGCX 12.24 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
11.02 09-10 FISMX 29.24 InternationalSmallCap
11.01 10-05 FEDDX 15.09 EmergingMarketsDiscovery Yes
10.67 11-01 FSCHX 172.87 SChemicals
10.42 12-10 FPBFX 33.66 PacificBasin Yes
10.28 13-21 FDSVX 31.70 Growth Discovery
10.20 14-09 FIGRX 46.12 InternationalDiscovery Yes
10.14 15-05 FIVFX 20.70 InternationalCapApp Yes
10.08 16-08 FSDAX 154.73 SDefense&Aerospace
10.04 17-09 FTIEX 9.22 TotalInternationalEquity Yes
9.64 18-02 FSCOX 18.36 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities Yes
9.60 19-01 FSELX 109.78 SSemiconductors
9.51 20-01 FBGRX 83.99 BlueChipGrowth
Last week
15.69 01-05 FLATX 26.03 LatinAmerica
13.76 02-10 FPEMX 10.89 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
13.75 03-03 FBIOX 228.50 SBiotechnology
13.70 04-23 FEMKX 30.97 EmergingMarkets
13.26 05-18 FHKCX 32.51 ChinaReqion
12.35 06-33 FSPTX 174.54 STechnology
11.65 07-16 FSEAX 41.21 EmergingAsia
11.06 08-09 FISMX 29.08 InternationalSmallCap
10.53 09-03 FFGCX 12.10 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
10.40 10-04 FEDDX 14.92 EmergingMarketsDiscovery
10.33 11-09 FPBFX 33.45 PacificBasin
10.08 12-20 FDSVX 31.47 Growth Discovery
9.88 13-04 FIVFX 20.54 InternationalCapApp Yes
9.81 14-07 FIGRX 45.71 InternationalDiscovery
9.66 15-08 FTIEX 9.14 TotalInternationalEquity
9.60 16-01 FSCOX 18.26 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities Yes
9.50 17-07 FIREX 11.39 InternationalRealEstate Yes
9.30 18-07 FSDAX 152.81 SDefense&Aerospace
9.14 19-01 FSAGX 22.67 SGold
9.05 20-11 FOCPX 107.03 OTCPortfolio