21 July 2017

My report is a little late this week, I had to spend Saturday helping Donald Duck run Disney’s Animal Kingdom. It rained.

This was a good week. I did not think it was this good until I worked the numbers and it is a buy week.

Returns for June IRA#1 -2%, IRA#2 -2%, QQQ -3%, SPY/RSP 1% – not a great month.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 3%, IRA#2 1%, QQQ 4%, SPY/RSP 2%
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 0%, IRA#2 5%, QQQ 16%, SPY/RSP 7%
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 7%, IRA#2 9%, QQQ 28%, SPY/RSP 16%
May portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None – Invested 100% in FSPTX
IRA#2 – None – Invested 20% in FSELX, FDCPX, FSPTX, FDLSX, and in cash
QQQ – None – Invested 100% in QQQ
SPY/RSP – None – Invested 100% in RSP
DWTR – I am no longer going to invest in this ETF. It is an ETF which slowly rotates between 10 sector ETFs. The results have not proved as good as I thought it should be. It may be a fine investment for an investor who never wants to manage his investments.

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 94.31, 50 day MA of 92.40, a 200 day MA of 88.52, and a 7% stop loss is 87.74. In a recent podcast from MacroVoices, the guest pointed out that SPY (the capitalization weighted S&P500 ETF) is out performing RSP (the equal weighted S&P500 ETF) by a ratio equal to when it did in 2007. Generally it does not.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 171.04, a sell price 162.49, a rank of 02, and is a hold. ( ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss 47.67 )
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 89.43, a sell price 84.96, a rank of of 18, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
SLeasure has a price of 159.03, a sell price 156.63, a rank of 51, and will be sold when there is another fund to buy. (ETF – IBUY – stoploss not allowed)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 106.73, a sell price 101.39, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 85.60)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC is a buy and has a price of 10.57, a sell price TBD, and a rank of 01. (ETF – EEMO)
00% Cash in IRA#01 and 00% Cash in IRA#2.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – Invest 20% in EmergingMarketsIndex – IC

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
16.43 01-02 FPEMX 10.57 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
15.41 02-26 FSPTX 171.04 STechnology Yes
15.25 03-11 FHKCX 31.37 ChinaReqion Yes
14.65 04-05 FBIOX 221.84 SBiotechnology Yes
14.46 05-09 FSEAX 40.37 EmergingAsia Yes
13.78 06-04 FSLBX 79.08 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
12.78 07-24 FOCPX 106.73 OTCPortfolio Yes
12.45 08-01 FSRBX 35.09 SBanking
12.37 09-13 FDSVX 31.67 Growth Discovery Yes
12.27 10-02 FISMX 28.25 InternationalSmallCap Yes
11.72 11-02 FPBFX 32.60 PacificBasin Yes
11.51 12-10 FSCOX 17.95 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities Yes
11.38 13-02 FSCSX 156.87 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
11.37 14-16 FEMKX 29.13 EmergingMarkets
11.27 15-02 FBGRX 83.95 BlueChipGrowth Yes
11.25 16-01 FAUIX 12.31 LargeCapGrowthIndex – IC Yes
11.21 17-01 FTIEX 8.95 TotalInternationalEquity Yes
11.13 18-01 FDCPX 89.43 SComputers Yes
10.90 19-01 FSVLX 14.50 SConsumerFinance Yes
10.28 20-01 FCNTX 118.64 Contrafund Yes
Last week:
14.14 01-25 FSPTX 167.91 STechnology
13.29 02-10 FHKCX 31.07 ChinaReqion
13.04 03-04 FBIOX 216.51 SBiotechnology Yes
12.74 04-15 FEMKX 28.88 EmergingMarkets
12.64 05-12 FNORX 54.12 Nordic
12.34 06-08 FSEAX 39.86 EmergingAsia
11.96 07-23 FOCPX 105.33 OTCPortfolio
11.32 08-05 FSMEX 46.83 SMedicalEquipment&Systems
10.93 09-02 FSAIX 81.98 SAirTransportation Yes
10.84 10-01 FSCSX 154.98 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
10.81 11-01 FPEMX 10.47 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
10.28 12-01 FBGRX 82.88 BlueChipGrowth
10.17 13-03 FSLBX 75.64 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
10.07 14-12 FIEUX 40.58 Europe
10.04 15-12 FDSVX 31.34 Growth Discovery Yes
10.02 16-01 FEDDX 14.24 EmergingMarketsDiscovery
9.89 17-09 FSCOX 17.76 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities
9.89 18-02 FSELX 106.64 SSemiconductors
9.85 19-01 FISMX 27.99 InternationalSmallCap
9.82 20-01 FPBFX 32.12 PacificBasin
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Jun17 1m-2% 3m+3% 6m+0% 12m+7% 24m-4% 36m+9% 60m+71% 120m-11%
May17 1m+5% 3m-5% 6m+8% 12m+12% 24m-6% 36m+18% 60m+75% 120m-6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – CashResrves(FDRXX)(03Jul17) from SSemiconductors(FSELX)
20% – OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)(15May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SLeasure(FDLSX)(08May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
Jun17 1m-2% 3m+1% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+7% 36m+11% 60m+24% 120m+20%
May17 1m+4% 3m+2% 6m10% 12m+18% 24m+7% 36m+15% 60m+27% 120m+23%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

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