Month: August 2018

A good week, not a buy week but next week is a buy week if it is up. The sum of all the deviations has been 392, 381, and now 509 – not up 2 weeks in a row.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 13, 11, and now 37.
A very good week. I hope it continues. I would be more interested in buying if Fidelity did not have its greedy, stupid rule about holding funds for 30 days. That is not a requirement for ETF – buy ETFs, not funds. Some 401k offerings (like HRB) are stuck in the last century and only offer funds. Even the Florida Retirement System offers ETFs.

The financial crisis of 2008 cost every American $70,000 – https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-13/the-financial-crisis-cost-every-american-70-000-fed-study-says

The US had the Dot-com Bubble in 2000 followed by a recession, the Housing Bubble in 2008 followed by a recession, and now the Everything Bubble – https://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2018/08/24/u-s-household-wealth-is-experiencing-an-unsustainable-bubble/

One thing to remember about the 2008 recession is that the banks caused most of it, were bailed out, noone went to jail, and the banks are doing worse today – http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6065205/RBS-bankers-joked-destroying-global-housing-market-crash.html

IRA#1
SRetailing has a price of 16.39, a sell price 15.57, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
IRA#2
SITServices has a price of 65.83 a sell price 62.54, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – XWEB – stopped out 28Jun, XITK – stopped out on 27Jun)
SRetailing has a price of 16.39, a sell price 15.57, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
SSoftware&ITServices has a price of 19.63, a sell price 18.65, a rank of 06, and is a hold. (ETF – ARKW & FDN – stopped out on 30Jul)

My mutual fund portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
13.16 01-41 FSRPX 16.39 SRetailing
11.95 02-11 FSHCX 102.57 SHealthCareServices
11.64 03-33 FBSOX 65.83 SITServices Yes
11.30 04-31 FCPGX 30.30 SmallCapGrowth
10.24 05-05 FSMEX 53.69 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices Yes
9.98 06-31 FSCSX 19.63 SSoftware&ITServices
9.90 07-20 FOCPX 13.10 OTCPortfolio
9.90 08-11 FSPHX 26.37 SHealthCare Yes
9.83 09-02 FSDCX 40.12 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
9.40 10-20 FBGRX 103.71 BlueChipGrowth
9.39 11-20 FTQGX 26.85 FocusedStock
8.82 12-07 FSUIX 15.26 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
8.66 13-12 FSCPX 47.11 SConsumerDiscretionary
8.52 14-02 FDSCX 30.31 StockSelectorSmallCap
8.49 15-04 FSRFX 105.72 STransportation Yes
8.46 16-11 FNCMX 104.80 NasdaqCompositeIndex
8.22 17-01 FSSPX 22.86 SmallCapIndex – Inv Yes
8.13 18-01 FTRNX 111.88 Trend
8.10 19-04 FLGEX 21.26 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
8.10 20-04 FDCPX 100.41 SComputers Yes
Last Week
12.65 01-10 FSHCX 102.57 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.61 02-40 FSRPX 15.91 SRetailing
9.92 03-32 FBSOX 64.42 SITServices Yes
9.34 04-30 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth
9.31 05-01 FRXIX 16.20 RealEstateIndex – Inv
8.63 06-10 FSPHX 25.93 SHealthCare
8.37 07-30 FSCSX 19.24 SSoftware&ITServices
8.36 08-04 FSMEX 52.49 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.97 09-03 FSRFX 104.75 STransportation
7.76 10-06 FSUIX 15.04 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.53 11-19 FOCPX 12.75 OTCPortfolio
7.52 12-03 FDCPX 99.45 SComputers
7.51 13-19 FTQGX 26.26 FocusedStock
7.37 14-19 FBGRX 101.28 BlueChipGrowth
7.23 15-03 FLGEX 21.00 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
7.18 16-10 FNCMX 103.10 NasdaqCompositeIndex
6.99 17-01 FSDCX 38.88 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
6.93 18-11 FSCPX 46.15 SConsumerDiscretionary
6.86 19-01 FSUTX 88.82 SUtilities
6.78 20-01 FDSCX 29.69 StockSelectorSmallCap
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18)
Jun18 1m-3% 3m+0% 6m-0% 12m+17% 24m+25% 36m+13% 60m+55% 120m-2%
May18 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+2% 12m+18% 24m+36% 36m+10% 60m+59% 120m+4%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSoftware&ITServices(FSCSX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18) from SEnergy(FSENX)(13Apr18)
20% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(11Jun18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – SITServices(FBSOX)(14May18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(12Feb18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(02Apr18) from EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
Jun18 1m-0% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+6% 24m+16% 36m+11% 60m+25% 120m+25%
May18 1m+1% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+4% 24m+23% 36m+11% 60m+23% 120m+40%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

A down week, not a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 441, 392, and now 381 – not up 2 weeks in a row.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 23, 13, and now 11.
Not much going on this week. Some things up, some things down. My numbers suggest no buying for the next two weeks.

Last week I listed 6 stocks Tracey Ryniec mentioned on a podcast. After two weeks they are up HCA 1.1%, M -7.5%, PCMI -1.7%, EVTC 3.8%, OFG 7.0%, and FBC -0.3%. If all 6 has been purchase in equal amounts the gain of the portfolio was 2.7 compared to last week of 2.1%.

From the 15Aug Felder Report: “Over the past few weeks the Nasdaq has triggered a total of five Hindenburg Omens. As I wrote back in November, the last time the Nasdaq saw a cluster of signals like this, “The ‘Hindenburg Omen’ was developed by Jim Miekka as a warning of a stock market crash. While it’s not very effective in this regard it can be very useful in assessing the overall strength of an uptrend.” Review the report at https://thefelderreport.com/2018/08/15/the-nasdaq-triggers-another-breadth-warning/

IRA#1
SRetailing has a price of 15.91, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
IRA#2
SITServices has a price of 64.42 a sell price 61.24, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – XWEB – stopped out 28Jun, XITK – stopped out on 27Jun)
SRetailing has a price of 15.91, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
SSoftware&ITServices has a price of 19.24, a sell price 18.64, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – ARKW & FDN – stopped out on 30Jul)

My mutual fund portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
12.65 01-10 FSHCX 102.57 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.61 02-40 FSRPX 15.91 SRetailing
9.92 03-32 FBSOX 64.42 SITServices Yes
9.34 04-30 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth
9.31 05-01 FRXIX 16.20 RealEstateIndex – Inv
8.63 06-10 FSPHX 25.93 SHealthCare
8.37 07-30 FSCSX 19.24 SSoftware&ITServices
8.36 08-04 FSMEX 52.49 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.97 09-03 FSRFX 104.75 STransportation
7.76 10-06 FSUIX 15.04 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.53 11-19 FOCPX 12.75 OTCPortfolio
7.52 12-03 FDCPX 99.45 SComputers
7.51 13-19 FTQGX 26.26 FocusedStock
7.37 14-19 FBGRX 101.28 BlueChipGrowth
7.23 15-03 FLGEX 21.00 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
7.18 16-10 FNCMX 103.10 NasdaqCompositeIndex
6.99 17-01 FSDCX 38.88 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
6.93 18-11 FSCPX 46.15 SConsumerDiscretionary
6.86 19-01 FSUTX 88.82 SUtilities
6.78 20-01 FDSCX 29.69 StockSelectorSmallCap
Last Week
11.79 01-39 FSRPX 15.99 SRetailing
10.82 02-09 FSHCX 100.23 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.26 03-29 FSCSX 19.49 SSoftware&ITServices
9.88 04-29 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth Yes
9.60 05-31 FBSOX 63.90 SITServices
9.31 06-18 FOCPX 12.91 OTCPortfolio Yes
9.03 07-18 FBGRX 102.45 BlueChipGrowth Yes
8.60 08-09 FSPHX 25.81 SHealthCare
8.27 09-18 FTQGX 26.34 FocusedStock
8.03 10-03 FSMEX 52.10 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.91 11-05 FSUIX 15.00 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.86 12-09 FNCMX 103.36 NasdaqCompositeIndex Yes
7.70 13-10 FSCPX 46.31 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.36 14-05 FDSVX 36.23 Growth Discovery
7.34 15-05 FCNTX 13.73 Contrafund
7.28 16-02 FLGEX 20.93 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex Yes
7.10 17-01 FTRNX 109.96 Trend
6.98 18-02 FSRFX 103.35 STransportation
6.78 19-02 FDCPX 98.37 SComputers
6.75 20-09 FBMPX 78.80 SMultimedia

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18)
Jun18 1m-3% 3m+0% 6m-0% 12m+17% 24m+25% 36m+13% 60m+55% 120m-2%
May18 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+2% 12m+18% 24m+36% 36m+10% 60m+59% 120m+4%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSoftware&ITServices(FSCSX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18) from SEnergy(FSENX)(13Apr18)
20% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(11Jun18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – SITServices(FBSOX)(14May18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(12Feb18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(02Apr18) from EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
Jun18 1m-0% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+6% 24m+16% 36m+11% 60m+25% 120m+25%
May18 1m+1% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+4% 24m+23% 36m+11% 60m+23% 120m+40%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

A down week, not a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 439, 441, and now 392 – not up 2 weeks in a row.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 19, 23, and now 13.
After Friday’s market results I was surprised my weekly numbers were not worse. We are soon to be in September, the worst month of the year – on average.

Last week I listed 6 stocks Tracey Ryniec mentioned on a podcast. After one week they are up HCA 3.0%, M 5.1%, PCMI 3.6%, EVTC 2.9%, OFG -2.0%, and FBC 0.15%. If all 6 has been purchase in equal amounts the gain of the portfolio was 2.1%.

During the week the daily Vertical Research Advisory podcast reported that their goal for the year end is 30,000 and even higher in future years. That will be an 18% increase.

IRA#1
SRetailing has a price of 15.99, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
IRA#2
SITServices has a price of 63.90 a sell price 61.24, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – XWEB – stopped out 28Jun, XITK – stopped out on 27Jun)
SRetailing has a price of 15.99, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
SSoftware&ITServices has a price of 19.49, a sell price 18.64, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – ARKW & FDN – stopped out on 30Jul)

My mutual fund portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
11.79 01-39 FSRPX 15.99 SRetailing
10.82 02-09 FSHCX 100.23 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.26 03-29 FSCSX 19.49 SSoftware&ITServices
9.88 04-29 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth Yes
9.60 05-31 FBSOX 63.90 SITServices
9.31 06-18 FOCPX 12.91 OTCPortfolio Yes
9.03 07-18 FBGRX 102.45 BlueChipGrowth Yes
8.60 08-09 FSPHX 25.81 SHealthCare
8.27 09-18 FTQGX 26.34 FocusedStock
8.03 10-03 FSMEX 52.10 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.91 11-05 FSUIX 15.00 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.86 12-09 FNCMX 103.36 NasdaqCompositeIndex Yes
7.70 13-10 FSCPX 46.31 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.36 14-05 FDSVX 36.23 Growth Discovery
7.34 15-05 FCNTX 13.73 Contrafund
7.28 16-02 FLGEX 20.93 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex Yes
7.10 17-01 FTRNX 109.96 Trend
6.98 18-02 FSRFX 103.35 STransportation
6.78 19-02 FDCPX 98.37 SComputers
6.75 20-09 FBMPX 78.80 SMultimedia
Last Week
10.59 01-38 FSRPX 15.72 SRetailing
10.45 02-08 FSHCX 99.32 SHealthCareServices Yes
9.84 03-28 FSCSX 19.31 SSoftware&ITServices
9.23 04-30 FBSOX 63.36 SITServices
8.83 05-17 FOCPX 12.79 OTCPortfolio
8.77 06-08 FSPHX 257.28 SHealthCare
8.63 07-17 FBGRX 101.59 BlueChipGrowth
8.45 08-01 FRXIX 15.94 RealEstateIndex – Inv
8.33 09-28 FCPGX 29.02 SmallCapGrowth
8.23 10-02 FSMEX 51.98 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices Yes
8.00 11-04 FSUIX 14.95 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.86 12-08 FNCMX 102.93 NasdaqCompositeIndex
7.83 13-17 FTQGX 26.12 FocusedStock
7.47 14-04 FDSVX 37.21 Growth Discovery
7.25 15-01 FSRFX 103.23 STransportation Yes
7.23 16-08 FBMPX 78.88 SMultimedia
7.18 17-01 FLGEX 20.83 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
7.16 18-09 FSCPX 45.89 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.06 19-01 FDCPX 98.28 SComputers
7.04 20-04 FCNTX 136.37 Contrafund

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18)
Jun18 1m-3% 3m+0% 6m-0% 12m+17% 24m+25% 36m+13% 60m+55% 120m-2%
May18 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+2% 12m+18% 24m+36% 36m+10% 60m+59% 120m+4%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSoftware&ITServices(FSCSX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18) from SEnergy(FSENX)(13Apr18)
20% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(11Jun18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – SITServices(FBSOX)(14May18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(12Feb18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(02Apr18) from EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(26Mar18) from SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jan18)
Jun18 1m-0% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+6% 24m+16% 36m+11% 60m+25% 120m+25%
May18 1m+1% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+4% 24m+23% 36m+11% 60m+23% 120m+40%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

An ok week, not a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 454, 439, and now 441 – not up 2 weeks in a row.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 20, 19, and now 23.
In order to limit the number of funds I watch to 100, each week I add a fund from last month’s best performing and delete the worst performing.
This week I added LatinAmerica(FLATX) and deleted EmergingAsia(FSEAX). If every fund goes up by an average of 0.06% the sum some of the deviations will be up. Adding LatinAmreica increased the sum of all the deviations by 4% and removing EmergingAsia (its deviation was negative) increased the sun of all deviations by 2%.

Last year I reported on a Zacks Market Edge Podcast with Tracey Ryniec where she provided the names of 5 value stocks which were acting like growth stocks. That list was great. On Wednesday (01Aug) she provided a list of 5 Value Stocks Hotter than Apple in 2018. Using the Zacks screening tools she describes in her podcast she found 22 candidates and suggested investors look at HCA, M, PCMI, EVTC, OFG, and FBC. She added a sixth at the end of the podcast. They are worth a review by an interested investor.

The Wishing Wealth Blog which sends me an email daily has its two general market indices at 5 out of 6 and 7 out of 8. A bullish reading.

IRA#1
SRetailing has a price of 15.72, a sell price 15.07, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
IRA#2
SITServices has a price of 63.36 a sell price 61.24, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – XWEB – stopped out 28Jun, XITK – stopped out on 27Jun)
SRetailing has a price of 15.72, a sell price 15.07, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
SSoftware&ITServices has a price of 19.31, a sell price 18.64, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – ARKW & FDN – stopped out on 30Jul)

My mutual fund portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
10.59 01-38 FSRPX 15.72 SRetailing
10.45 02-08 FSHCX 99.32 SHealthCareServices Yes
9.84 03-28 FSCSX 19.31 SSoftware&ITServices
9.23 04-30 FBSOX 63.36 SITServices
8.83 05-17 FOCPX 12.79 OTCPortfolio
8.77 06-08 FSPHX 257.28 SHealthCare
8.63 07-17 FBGRX 101.59 BlueChipGrowth
8.45 08-01 FRXIX 15.94 RealEstateIndex – Inv
8.33 09-28 FCPGX 29.02 SmallCapGrowth
8.23 10-02 FSMEX 51.98 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices Yes
8.00 11-04 FSUIX 14.95 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.86 12-08 FNCMX 102.93 NasdaqCompositeIndex
7.83 13-17 FTQGX 26.12 FocusedStock
7.47 14-04 FDSVX 37.21 Growth Discovery
7.25 15-01 FSRFX 103.23 STransportation Yes
7.23 16-08 FBMPX 78.88 SMultimedia
7.18 17-01 FLGEX 20.83 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
7.16 18-09 FSCPX 45.89 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.06 19-01 FDCPX 98.28 SComputers
7.04 20-04 FCNTX 136.37 Contrafund
Last Week
11.50 01-37 FSRPX 15.76 SRetailing
10.92 02-27 FSCSX 19.40 SSoftware&ITServices
10.41 03-29 FBSOX 63.73 SITServices
9.03 04-16 FTQGX 26.30 FocusedStock
8.57 05-16 FOCPX 12.70 OTCPortfolio
8.54 06-16 FBGRX 101.04 BlueChipGrowth
8.52 07-07 FSHCX 97.05 SHealthCareServices
7.95 08-03 FDSVX 37.23 Growth Discovery
7.94 09-27 FCPGX 28.79 SmallCapGrowth
7.77 10-07 FSPHX 253.74 SHealthCare
7.55 11-01 FSENX 48.25 SEnergy
7.51 12-03 FSUIX 14.82 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.51 13-26 FSPTX 185.48 STechnology
7.51 14-03 FCNTX 136.46 Contrafund
7.33 15-08 FSCPX 45.79 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.25 16-07 FNCMX 101.93 NasdaqCompositeIndex
7.14 17-01 FSMEX 51.23 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.07 18-07 FBMPX 78.46 SMultimedia
6.92 19-03 FTRNX 108.98 Trend
6.87 20-01 FMAGX 109.59 Magellan

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18)
Jun18 1m-3% 3m+0% 6m-0% 12m+17% 24m+25% 36m+13% 60m+55% 120m-2%
May18 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+2% 12m+18% 24m+36% 36m+10% 60m+59% 120m+4%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSoftware&ITServices(FSCSX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18) from SEnergy(FSENX)(13Apr18)
20% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(11Jun18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – SITServices(FBSOX)(14May18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(12Feb18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(02Apr18) from EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(26Mar18) from SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jan18)
Jun18 1m-0% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+6% 24m+16% 36m+11% 60m+25% 120m+25%
May18 1m+1% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+4% 24m+23% 36m+11% 60m+23% 120m+40%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%