Not a bad week, just sort of a blah week. The sum of all deviations, which I use to measure the market trend, moved up to 573, from 496, but 573 is just a little above where it was two weeks ago and below the previous three weeks. The percent of NYSE stocks whose individual point and figure charts have buy signals is 58.90%. In the last 2 years it has been as high as 76% in Feb17 and as low as 25% in Jan16. 58% is not good, not bad, just sort of ok. Of the 100 Fidelity mutual funds I follow, 22 are listed as buy. Of these 22, 17 are international funds which are probably helped by the falling dollar which has declined from a value of 103+ to 92+ since Dec16.
July returns for IRA#1 5%, IRA#2 1%, QQQ 4%, SPY/RSP 2% – not a bad month.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 8%, IRA#2 2%, QQQ 5%, SPY/RSP 3%
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 5%, IRA#2 5%, QQQ 15%, SPY/RSP 7%
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 5%, IRA#2 5%, QQQ 25%, SPY/RSP 13%
July portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None – Invested 100% in FSPTX
IRA#2 – Purchased FPEMX on 24Jul, Sold FDLSX on 31Jul – Invested 20% in FSELX, FDCPX, FSPTX, FPEMX, and in cash
QQQ – None – Invested 100% in QQQ
SPY/RSP – None – Invested 100% in RSP
My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 92.46, 50 day MA of 93.15, a 200 day MA of 90.04, and a 7% stop loss is 87.99. Both RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) and SPY (S&P500 capitalization weighted) are below their 50 day moving average – the second week in a row. The 50 day average is a price at which many investors sell, and others just do not buy anymore.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 172.8, a sell price 163.19, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – current stoploss 50.93)
IRA#2
SComputers has a price of 87.99, a sell price 84.96, a rank of of 30, and is a hold for now. (ETF – PSI – stopped out 6/12 11% gain)
OTCPortfolio has a price of 105.83, a sell price 101.39, a rank of 16, and is a hold. (ETF – MTUM – stoploss 86.58)
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 10.86, a sell price 10.32, and a rank of 02. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 18.48)
Last week I said I was still holding IBUY – well it turns out it had been sold on Friday 18Aug – stoploss hit.
IBUY was purchased on 5/8 and sold on 8/18 for a gain of 7.5%. It is now down 0.5% since the sale.
FDLSX was purchased on 5/8 and sold on 7/31 for a gain of 1.3%. It is now up 0.5% since the sale.
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
15.19 01-16 FHKCX 32.58 ChinaReqion Yes
15.16 02-08 FPEMX 10.86 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
13.06 03-03 FLATX 25.07 LatinAmerica Yes
12.66 04-14 FSEAX 41.06 EmergingAsia Yes
12.32 05-31 FSPTX 172.09 STechnology Yes
11.53 06-21 FEMKX 29.98 EmergingMarkets Yes
10.54 07-07 FPBFX 33.15 PacificBasin Yes
10.47 08-07 FISMX 28.60 InternationalSmallCap
9.93 09-02 FEDDX 14.70 EmergingMarketsDiscovery Yes
9.45 10-05 FSDAX 151.39 SDefense&Aerospace
9.39 11-18 FDSVX 30.93 Growth Discovery
9.31 12-06 FTIEX 9.02 TotalInternationalEquity Yes
9.24 13-03 FSUTX 85.28 SUtilities Yes
9.24 14-01 FFGCX 11.83 GlobalCommodityStock
9.17 15-05 FIGRX 45.00 InternationalDiscovery Yes
8.96 16-09 FOCPX 105.83 OTCPortfolio
8.82 17-02 FIVFX 20.14 InternationalCapApp Yes
8.66 18-15 FSCOX 17.93 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities Yes
8.44 19-05 FIREX 11.17 InternationalRealEstate
8.22 20-01 FBIOX 214.17 SBiotechnology
Last week:
13.51 01-15 FHKCX 31.85 ChinaReqion
13.20 02-07 FPEMX 10.59 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
11.76 03-13 FSEAX 40.46 EmergingAsia
11.61 04-30 FSPTX 169.89 STechnology
10.80 05-02 FLATX 24.40 LatinAmerica
10.30 06-20 FEMKX 29.47 EmergingMarkets
10.02 07-06 FPBFX 32.81 PacificBasin
9.60 08-06 FISMX 28.22 InternationalSmallCap
9.22 09-17 FDSVX 30.73 Growth Discovery
9.09 10-04 FSDAX 150.14 SDefense&Aerospace
8.77 11-02 FSUTX 84.50 SUtilities
8.63 12-05 FTIEX 8.92 TotalInternationalEquity
8.49 13-14 FSCOX 17.82 InternationalSmallCapOpportunities
8.33 14-01 FEDDX 14.41 EmergingMarketsDiscovery
8.29 15-04 FIGRX 44.42 InternationalDiscovery
8.24 16-04 FIREX 11.10 InternationalRealEstate
8.15 17-08 FOCPX 104.55 OTCPortfolio
7.98 18-01 FIVFX 19.89 InternationalCapApp
7.39 19-01 FSVLX 14.30 SConsumerFinance
7.02 20-01 FSCSX 153.38 SSoftware&ITServices
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Jun17 1m-2% 3m+3% 6m+0% 12m+7% 24m-4% 36m+9% 60m+71% 120m-11%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – CashReserve(FDRXX)(31Jul17) from SLeasure(FDLSX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)(15May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Jun17 1m-2% 3m+1% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+7% 36m+11% 60m+24% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%