Returns for February IRA#1 3%, IRA#2 4%, QQQ 4%, SPY/RSP 3%, DWTR 1%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 10%, IRA#2 8%, QQQ 11%, SPY/RSP 6%, DWTR 2%.
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 3%, IRA#2 7%, QQQ 12%, SPY/RSP 9%, DWTR -5%.
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 36%, IRA#2 21%, QQQ 19%, SPY/RSP 14%, DWTR 0%
December portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None, Invested in FSRBX.
IRA#2 – Purchased FDCPX 02/13 – Invested in FSRFX, FSRBX, FSELX, FBIOX, FDCPX
QQQ – None – Invested in QQQ
SPY/RSP – NONE – Invested in RSP
DWTR – NONE – Invested in DWTR
“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com: (https://stockcharts.com/webinars/archives/)
On Friday, 17Mar, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is neutral to bearish, long term outlook bullish.
On Friday, 17Mar, the short term outlook is neutral to bearish, intermediate term outlook is bearish, long term outlook bullish.
My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 89.81, 50 day MA of 89.60, a 200 day MA of 84.54, and a 7% stop loss is 85.81. This is not an investment to buy and hold but then there are no investments to buy and hold.
IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Uptrend Under Pressure” as of 21Mar. Not a time to invest.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 31.64, a sell price 32.40, a rank of 32, and is a sell. (ETF – KRE- stopped out)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 103.63, a sell price 98.62, a rank of 03, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 73.94)
STransportation has a price of 88.42, a sell price 89.59, a rank of 107, and is a sell. (ETF – XTN – stopped out)
SBiotechnology has a price of 199.87, a sell price 197.59, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – XBI – current stoploss 67.26)
SComputers has a price of 84.14, a sell price 80.48, a rank of of 02, and is a hold (ETF – PSI- current stoploss 38.71)
Two of my funds and two of my ETFs are sells. The ETFs were stopped out when the stoploss was hit. Stoplosses cannot be used with mutual funds. Since I compute my relative strength numbers each weekend, the funds did not become sells until this weekend. It it turs out this is just a minor blip, I can always buy the funds again. Reviewing the top 20 funds this week indicates various foreign funds are doing better.
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – Sell SBanking
IRA #2 – Sell SBanking and STransportation
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 00% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
13.75 01-13 FBIOX 199.87 SBiotechnology
12.36 02-10 FDCPX 84.14 SComputers
12.33 03-38 FSELX 103.63 SSemiconductors
12.28 04-09 FSPTX 151.34 STechnology
10.57 05-02 FHKCX 27.62 ChinaReqion Yes
10.33 06-05 FWRLX 9.39 SWireless
10.16 07-01 FSAGX 21.22 SGold
9.46 08-02 FSEAX 35.44 EmergingAsia Yes
9.35 09-10 FSCHX 161.36 SChemicals
9.11 10-01 FEMEX 8.94 EmergingEMEA Yes
8.61 11-01 FEDDX 13.12 EmergingMarketsDiscovery Yes
8.32 12-01 FEMKX 25.45 EmergingMarkets Yes
8.28 13-01 FTEMX 11.91 TotalEmergingMarkets Yes
8.25 14-07 FOCPX 92.29 OTCPortfolio
8.24 15-19 FSHCX 88.04 SHealthCareServices
8.14 16-07 FSLEX 24.06 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy
8.01 17-01 FLATX 21.68 LatinAmerica
7.72 18-01 FPEMX 9.58 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
7.69 19-06 FNCMX 76.63 NasdaqCompositeIndex
7.68 20-01 FSDCX 34.39 SCommunicationsEquipment
Last week:
17.40 01-12 FBIOX 204.79 SBiotechnology
13.87 02-09 FDCPX 84.72 SComputers
13.28 03-08 FSPTX 151.70 STechnology
13.26 04-37 FSELX 103.81 SSemiconductors
12.82 05-22 FSRBX 33.36 SBanking
12.27 06-09 FSCHX 164.86 SChemicals
11.05 07-04 FWRLX 9.40 SWireless
11.04 08-18 FSHCX 89.93 SHealthCareServices
10.39 09-01 FHKCX 27.42 ChinaReqion
10.33 10-05 FSDAX 139.13 SDefense&Aerospace
10.05 11-06 FSLEX 24.38 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy
9.97 12-19 FSLBX 71.48 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
9.87 13-19 FIDSX 102.88 SFinancialServices
9.79 14-06 FOCPX 93.20 OTCPortfolio
9.47 15-05 FNCMX 77.58 NasdaqCompositeIndex
9.41 16-01 FCPGX 22.44 SmallCapGrowth
9.36 17-02 FSCSX 143.74 SSoftware&ITServices
9.23 18-01 FSEAX 35.19 EmergingAsia
9.10 19-19 FARNX 13.67 EventDrivenOpportunities
9.02 20-01 FDSVX 28.51 Growth Discovery
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(27Mar17) from SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16)
Feb17 1m+3% 3m10% 6m+3% 12m+36% 24m+0% 36m+15% 60m+59% 120m-4%
Jan17 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+1% 12m+32% 24m+2% 36m+14% 60m+56% 120m-7%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(27Mar17) from SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(27Mar17) from STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(16Jan17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Feb17 1m+4% 3m+8% 6m+7% 12m21% 24m+10% 36m+10% 60m+18% 120m+31%
Jan17 1m+1% 3m+6% 6m+0% 12m16% 24m+10% 36m+12% 60m+17% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%