The market continues up. The continued increase in the DJIA has been as great as it was in 1987. My suggestion is that you be ready to sell. The crash on 19Oct87 took the DJIA down 22.6%. At that time I had been using 10% as a sell limit on my mutual fund investments. I changed to use a 5% limit because if I had been using 5%, I would have not been invested on the 22.6% down day. I would have been in cash.
In January IRA#1 1%, IRA#2 1%, QQQ 5%, SPY/RSP 2%, DWTR 2%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 8%, IRA#2 6%, QQQ 7%, SPY/RSP 8%, DWTR 2%.
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 1%, IRA#2 0%, QQQ 8%, SPY/RSP 5%, DWTR -10%.
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 32%, IRA#2 16%, QQQ 14%, SPY/RSP 11%, DWTR 0%
December portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None, Invested in FSRBX.
IRA#2 – Sold FDCPX Purchased FBIOX 01/17 – Invested in FSRFX, FSRBX, FSELX, FBIOX, FSNGX
QQQ – None – Invested in QQQ
SPY/RSP – NONE – Invested in RSP
DWTR – NONE – Invested in DWTR
“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com: (https://stockcharts.com/webinars/archives/)
On Friday, 10Feb, the short term outlook is neutral to bearish, intermediate term outlook is bullish, long term outlook bullish.
On Friday, 17Feb, the short term outlook is bearish, intermediate term outlook is bullish, long term outlook bullish.
On Friday, 22Feb, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is bullish, long term outlook bullish.
My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 91.41, 50 day MA of 88.58, a 200 day MA of 83.78, and a 7% stop loss is 85.13. This is not an investment to buy and hold.
IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest. I am fully invested so will buy nothing, but will switch an investment when one I own crosses a sell price.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 33.65, a sell price 32.07, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 53.89)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 101.87, a sell price 96.78, a rank of 05, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 71.43)
STransportation has a price of 93.01, a sell price 89.59, a rank of 20, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.76)
SBiotechnology has a price of 196.54, a sell price 190.35, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – XBI – current stoploss 64.59)
SComputers has a price of 83.12, a sell price 78.96, a rank of of 03, and is a Hold (ETF – PSI- current stoploss 37.56)
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
16.52 01-19 FSRBX 33.65 SBanking
16.21 02-09 FBIOX 196.54 SBiotechnology
14.16 03-06 FDCPX 83.12 SComputers Yes
13.56 04-06 FSCHX 163.54 SChemicals Yes
13.48 05-34 FSELX 101.87 SSemiconductors
13.11 06-16 FARNX 13.95 EventDrivenOpportunities
12.69 07-16 FSHCX 89.55 SHealthCareServices Yes
12.39 08-05 FSPTX 147.61 STechnology
12.34 09-16 FSLBX 71.77 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.29 10-16 FIDSX 103.28 SFinancialServices
10.88 11-03 FOCPX 92.64 OTCPortfolio
10.71 12-04 FSAGX 22.22 SGold
10.64 13-02 FSDAX 137.26 SDefense&Aerospace
10.34 14-04 FSVLX 14.04 SConsumerFinance
9.98 15-02 FNCMX 76.79 NasdaqCompositeIndex
9.91 16-03 FSLEX 23.99 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy
9.67 17-01 FSCSX 142.11 SSoftware&ITServices
9.6 18-01 FBCVX 18.48 BlueChipValue
9.58 19-01 FWRLX 9.13 SWireless Yes
9.57 20-17 FSRFX 93.01 STransportation
Last week:
19.50 01-08 FBIOX 200.37 SBiotechnology Yes
17.92 02-18 FSRBX 33.76 SBanking
14.80 03-15 FARNX 14.06 EventDrivenOpportunities
14.75 04-03 FSAGX 22.90 SGold
13.98 05-33 FSELX 101.60 SSemiconductors
13.46 06-05 FDCPX 81.99 SComputers Yes
13.20 07-15 FSLBX 71.85 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.96 08-15 FIDSX 103.23 SFinancialServices
12.88 09-05 FSCHX 161.41 SChemicals
12.80 10-04 FSPTX 147.19 STechnology Yes
12.17 11-02 FOCPX 93.18 OTCPortfolio Yes
10.93 12-16 FSRFX 93.69 STransportation Yes
10.88 13-15 FSHCX 87.52 SHealthCareServices
10.84 14-01 FSDAX 136.74 SDefense&Aerospace Yes
10.47 15-03 FSVLX 13.98 SConsumerFinance Yes
10.47 16-10 FCYIX 34.01 SIndustrials Yes
10.44 17-01 FNCMX 76.70 NasdaqCompositeIndex Yes
10.43 18-01 FCPGX 22.23 SmallCapGrowth Yes
10.11 19-14 FCPEX 14.51 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
9.98 20-02 FSLEX 23.88 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy Yes
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Jan17 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+1% 12m+32% 24m+2% 36m+14% 60m+56% 120m-7%
Dec16 1m+6% 3m-1% 6m+7% 12m+24% 24m+14% 36m+14% 60m+65% 120m-6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(13Feb17) from SNaturalGas(FSNGX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(16Jan17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Jan17 1m+1% 3m+6% 6m+0% 12m16% 24m+10% 36m+12% 60m+17% 120m+20%
Dec16 1m+2% 3m-0% 6m+3% 12m+9% 24m+8% 36m+7% 60m+21% 120m+18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%