In December IRA#1 6%, IRA#2 2%, QQQ 1%, SPY/RSP 1%, DWTR -1%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 -1%, IRA#2 -0%, QQQ 0%, SPY/RSP 4%, DWTR -4%.
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 7%, IRA#2 3%, QQQ 11%, SPY/RSP 8%, DWTR -7%.
For the last 12 months, IRA#1 24%, IRA#2 9%, QQQ 9%, SPY/RSP 9%, DWTR -5%
December portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – None, Invested in FSRBX.
IRA#2 – Purchased FSNGX 12/12 – Invested in FSRFX, FSRBX, FSELX, FDCPX, FSNGX
QQQ – None – Invested in QQQ
SPY/RSP – NONE – Invested in RSP
DWTR – NONE – Invested in DWTR
Last January was a real big down month but on a yearly basis all the portfolios made money except for DWTR. DWTR is a tactical sector rotation ETF (updated monthly) currently owning ETFs PRN (industrials), PFI (financial), PXI (energy), and PTF (technology). The 4 ETFs DWTR owns are managed on a quarterly basis based on the best performing stock in the appropriate sector. My feeling is that the monthly and quarterly management produces good long term performance in a trending market but not good performance in other markets.
“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com: (https://stockcharts.com/webinars/archives/)
On Friday, 20Jan, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is neutral to bearish, long term outlook bullish.
On Friday, 27Jan, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is neutral to bullish, long term outlook bullish.
My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 88.74, 50 day MA of 87.14, a 200 day MA of 82.75, and a 7% stop loss is 83.00. This is not an investment to buy and hold.
IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest
The guests on Well Street Week on 1/27 indicated finance, electronics, and energy should be good long term investments. They also pointed out that the market in February following a new presidential election is down 80% of the time.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 32.95, a sell price 31.30, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 52.90)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 99.67, a sell price 94.69, a rank of 03, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 70.54)
STransportation has a price of 94.30, a sell price 89.59, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.76)
SNaturalGas has a price of 29.81, a sell price 28.93, a rank of 12, and is a hold. (ETF – XES – current stoploss 22.06)
SBiotechnology has a price of 182.42, a sell price 174.56, a rank of 12, and is a hold. (ETF – XBI – current stoploss 60.45)
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
18.20 01-15 FSRBX 32.95 SBanking
15.16 02-09 FSESX 57.67 SEnergyService
14.09 03-30 FSELX 99.67 SSemiconductors
13.45 04-13 FSRFX 94.30 STransportation
12.96 05-12 FARNX 13.53 EventDrivenOpportunities
12.73 06-02 FSCHX 158.15 SChemicals
11.75 07-05 FBIOX 182.42 SBiotechnology
11.70 08-12 FIDSX 100.19 SFinancialServices
11.56 09-04 FFGCX 11.98 GlobalCommodity Stock
10.80 10-13 FSAIX 75.66 SAirTransportation
10.77 11-12 FSLBX 69.01 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.75 12-11 FSNGX 29.81 SNaturalGas
10.09 13-12 FSHCX 85.43 SHealthCareServices
9.94 14-11 FCPEX 14.26 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
9.93 15-01 FSDPX 81.04 SMaterials
9.87 16-03 FEMEX 8.71 EmergingEMEA
9.74 17-07 FCYIX 33.29 SIndustrials
9.68 18-01 FSPTX 140.53 STechnology
9.52 19-02 FDCPX 77.61 SComputers
9.00 20-01 FSCSX 138.57 SSoftware&ITServices
Last week:
14.84 01-08 FSESX 57.05 SEnergyService
14.67 02-14 FSRBX 31.66 SBanking
13.27 03-04 FBIOX 183.75 SBiotechnology
12.14 04-11 FARNX 13.34 EventDrivenOpportunities
11.89 05-29 FSELX 97.02 SSemiconductors
11.72 06-12 FSRFX 92.21 STransportation
10.41 07-10 FSNGX 29.55 SNaturalGas
10.36 08-11 FSHCX 85.18 SHealthCareServices
9.99 09-03 FFGCX 11.74 GlobalCommodity Stock
9.98 10-12 FSAIX 74.67 SAirTransportation
9.83 11-11 FIDSX 97.91 SFinancialServices
9.43 12-11 FSLBX 67.79 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
8.81 13-10 FCPEX 14.04 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
8.45 14-01 FSAVX 36.75 SAutomotive
8.42 15-06 FCYIX 32.72 SIndustrials
8.04 16-02 FEMEX 8.52 EmergingEMEA
7.99 17-11 FSVLX 13.40 SConsumerFinance
7.92 18-01 FSPCX 77.65 SInsurance
7.92 19-02 FSTCX 71.02 STelecommunications
7.91 20-01 FSCHX 150.37 SChemicals
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Dec16 1m+6% 3m-1% 6m+7% 12m+24% 24m+14% 36m+14% 60m+65% 120m-6%
Nov16 1m+1% 3m-6% 6m+7% 12m+15% 24m+5% 36m+9% 60m+52% 120m-5%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SNaturalGas(FSNGX)(12Dec16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Dec16 1m+2% 3m-0% 6m+3% 12m+9% 24m+8% 36m+7% 60m+21% 120m+18%
Nov16 1m+3% 3m-1% 6m+7% 12m+4% 24m+7% 36m+6% 60m+19% 120m+21%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%