Month: December 2016

I hope you all have a Happy New Year and the market is closed on Monday.

 

In November IRA#1 1%, IRA#2 3%, PDP PIE PIZ DWAS -2%, QQQ 0%, SPY/RSP 5%, DWTR 1%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 -6%, IRA#2 -1%, PDPetc -6%, QQQ 1%, SPY/RSP 3%, DWTR -8%.
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 7%, IRA#2 7%, PDPetc -3%, QQQ 3%, SPY/RSP 1%, DWTR -3%.
November portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – Pruchased FSRBX 11/21 – Invested in FSRBX.
IRA#2 – Sold FSNGX 11/07, FSESX 11/10, Purchased FSRBX 11/21, FSRFX 11/28 – Invested in FSRFX, FSRBX, FSELX, FDCPX, cash
PDP PIE PIZ DWAS – Sold PIE 11/10 – Invested in Cash – this method of investing is not working out for me. I am going to liquidate this portfoio.
QQQ – None – Invested in QQQ
SPY/RSP – NONE – Invested in RSP
DWTR – NONE – Invested in DWTR

On Chuck Jaffe’s daily podscast, MoneyLive, of 12/16/16 Adam Grimes of Waverly Advisors said based on his analysis, we are standing at the start of another up moves and the market will go up 100% over the next +/-3 years. There may be a couple of dramatic jiggles but just stay invested for now. It will continue to be a broad rally and a big chunk of an index fund would a good idea for most investors. He thinks the US is a better place compared to the rest of the world.
On 12/30/16 Investors Edge program, they indicated the ice was getting thin, but 2017 looks good long term.
This was the first week the DJIA went down over the last 8 weeks. This was the first week Gold has gone up over the last 8 weeks.

So I Fidelity updated their distribution list for 12/29 not sure it it right because but it exists. Fidelity seems to have severe problems getting this right during years which end in the month of December. They did however miss those whose distribution were on 12/27 since in the “year end list” they still say pending. They are just so screwed up on distributions. I may have missed some but have tried to get them right.

“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com:
On Wednesday, 30Dec, the short term outlook is neutral to bearish, intermediate term is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral to bullish.

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 86.64, 50 day MA of 84.87, a 200 day MA of 81.80, and a 7% stop loss is 82.18. This is not an investment to buy and hold.

IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest. Except none of the top 20 out of 120 funds I follow is a buy.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 32.20, a sell price 30.92, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 52.51)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 95.52, a sell price 92.44, a rank of 05, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 68.60)
SComputers has a price of 74.18, a sell price 71.73, a rank of 36, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 118.18)
STransportation has a price of 90.09, a sell price 88.92, a rank of 09, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.76)
SNaturalGas has a price of 29.58, a sell price 28.51, a rank of 04, and is a Hold. (ETF – XES – current stoploss 21.70)
Generally I would be selling SComputers since it is not one of the top 20, however none of the top 20 have had an increasing deviation for two weeks.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
19.96 01-11 FSRBX 32.20 SBanking
15.31 02-05 FSESX 55.80 SEnergyService
12.84 03-08 FIDSX 98.72 SFinancialServices
12.71 04-07 FSNGX 29.58 SNaturalGas
12.38 05-26 FSELX 95.52 SSemiconductors
12.18 06-07 FCPEX 14.23 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
11.31 07-09 FSAIX 74.28 SAirTransportation
11.26 08-08 FARNX 12.95 EventDrivenOpportunities
11.19 09-09 FSRFX 90.09 STransportation
11.10 10-08 FSLBX 67.56 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
9.97 11-01 FBIOX 174.05 SBiotechnology
9.64 12-07 FSENX 46.76 SEnergy
9.50 13-08 FSVLX 13.38 SConsumerFinance
9.29 14-08 FSPCX 77.56 SInsurance
8.76 15-08 FSHCX 82.51 SHealthCareServices
8.73 16-03 FCYIX 32.35 SIndustrials
8.18 17-04 FDSCX 26.18 StockSelectorSmallCap
8.13 18-01 FEMEX 8.41 EmergingEMEA
8.00 19-10 FSDAX 129.13 SDefense&Aerospace
7.89 20-05 FNARX 30.58 SNaturalResources
Last week:
22.55 01-10 FSRBX 32.55 SBanking
17.18 02-04 FSESX 56.25 SEnergyService
15.24 03-06 FSNGX 30.04 SNaturalGas
15.23 04-25 FSELX 97.30 SSemiconductors
14.71 05-07 FIDSX 99.68 SFinancialServices
13.61 06-06 FCPEX 14.32 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
13.55 07-08 FSRFX 91.46 STransportation
13.35 08-08 FSAIX 75.19 SAirTransportation
13.04 09-07 FSLBX 68.34 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.27 10-07 FARNX 12.99 EventDrivenOpportunities
12.08 11-06 FSENX 47.56 SEnergy
10.79 12-07 FSVLX 13.47 SConsumerFinance
10.72 13-07 FSPCX 78.19 SInsurance
10.31 14-02 FCYIX 32.67 SIndustrials
10.02 15-07 FSHCX 83.08 SHealthCareServices
9.69 16-04 FNARX 30.96 SNaturalResources
9.29 17-07 FLCSX 29.65 LargeCapStock
9.28 18-09 FSDAX 130.11 SDefense&Aerospace
8.90 19-02 FSDCX 33.07 SCommunicationsEquipment
8.90 20-03 FDSCX 26.24 StockSelectorSmallCap
Last week:

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Nov16 1m+1% 3m-6% 6m-7% 12m+15% 24m+5% 36m+9% 60m52% 120m-5%
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SNaturalGas(FSNGX)(12Dec16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Nov16 1m+3% 3m-1% 6m+7% 12m+4% 24m+7% 36m+6% 60m+19% 120m+21%
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

I hope you all had a very Merry Christmas. This is late, but the market is closed on Monday.

Future Money trends produces a podcast I listen to regularly. Most of the time they are pushing some penny stocks on the Toronto Stock Exchange. However earlier this week they produced a fantastic interview with David Stockman – best known as President Reagan’s budget director. You should listed to it. Over the last 8 years the annual federal budget has had a deficit than 1.1T per year and yet never had an economy grow at 3% per year. The Federal Reserve Board has been printing money to support that. Obviously unless that continues and gets worse the the economy will tank along with the market. Trump does not stand a change if he tries to spend less. Stockman says the market in the spring and summer of 2017 will be a bloodbath as the market crashes. You should listen to it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYIDN8TG46Q.

So I called Fidelity another 4 times. Not only did they never update their distributions for 12/16, they did not post them for 12/23. Then I discovered the numbers they posted for 12/09 were incomplete. I hope someday they get their act together (I HOPE!).

“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com:
On Wednesday, 21Dec, the short term outlook is neutral to bullish, intermediate term is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral to bullish. Indicators are looking better.

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 88.37, 50 day MA of 84.45, a 200 day MA of 81.59, and a 7% stop loss is 82.18. This is not an investment to buy and hold.

IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest. Except none of the top 20 out of 120 funds I follow is a buy.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 32.55, a sell price 30.92, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 52.18)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 97.30, a sell price 92.44, a rank of 04, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 68.02)
SComputers has a price of 75.14, a sell price 71.73, a rank of 26, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 116.74)
STransportation has a price of 91.46, a sell price 88.92, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.76)
SNaturalGas has a price of 30.01, a sell price 28.51, a rank of 03, and is a Hold. (ETF – XES – current stoploss 21.70)
Generally I would be selling SComputers since it is not one of the top 20, however none of the top 20 have had an increasing deviation for two weeks.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
22.55 01-10 FSRBX 32.55 SBanking
17.18 02-04 FSESX 56.25 SEnergyService
15.24 03-06 FSNGX 30.04 SNaturalGas
15.23 04-25 FSELX 97.30 SSemiconductors
14.71 05-07 FIDSX 99.68 SFinancialServices
13.61 06-06 FCPEX 14.32 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
13.55 07-08 FSRFX 91.46 STransportation
13.35 08-08 FSAIX 75.19 SAirTransportation
13.04 09-07 FSLBX 68.34 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.27 10-07 FARNX 12.99 EventDrivenOpportunities
12.08 11-06 FSENX 47.56 SEnergy
10.79 12-07 FSVLX 13.47 SConsumerFinance
10.72 13-07 FSPCX 78.19 SInsurance
10.31 14-02 FCYIX 32.67 SIndustrials
10.02 15-07 FSHCX 83.08 SHealthCareServices
9.69 16-04 FNARX 30.96 SNaturalResources
9.29 17-07 FLCSX 29.65 LargeCapStock
9.28 18-09 FSDAX 130.11 SDefense&Aerospace
8.90 19-02 FSDCX 33.07 SCommunicationsEquipment
8.90 20-03 FDSCX 26.24 StockSelectorSmallCap
Last week:
22.05 01-09 FSRBX 32.03 SBanking
16.51 02-03 FSESX 55.42 SEnergyService
15.74 03-05 FSNGX 29.93 SNaturalGas
14.70 04-06 FIDSX 98.90 SFinancialServices
14.45 05-24 FSELX 95.87 SSemiconductors
14.43 06-05 FCPEX 14.32 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
14.04 07-07 FSRFX 91.20 STransportation
13.93 08-07 FSAIX 75.04 SAirTransportation
13.92 09-06 FSLBX 68.40 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.66 10-05 FSENX 47.50 SEnergy
12.65 11-06 FARNX 12.95 EventDrivenOpportunities
11.34 12-06 FSVLX 13.46 SConsumerFinance
10.35 13-06 FSPCX 77.49 SInsurance
10.14 14-03 FNARX 30.93 SNaturalResources
10.06 15-01 FCYIX 32.42 SIndustrials
9.84 16-01 FSDCX 33.20 SCommunicationsEquipment
9.61 17-06 FLCSX 29.59 LargeCapStock
9.43 18-03 FSCHX 149.19 SChemicals
9.24 19-02 FDSCX 26.20 StockSelectorSmallCap
8.95 20-08 FSDAX 129.08 SDefense&Aerospace

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Sep16 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+32% 12m+23% 24m+9% 36m+22% 60m52% 120m+6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SNaturalGas(FSNGX)(12Dec16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Sep16 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+13% 12m+7% 24m+9% 36m+8% 60m+20% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

So I am late this week – Yes it is Wednesday but I have been contributing to the economy with a week at WDW.

How well is your pension plan being managed? If you have a pension plan (public or private) you might want to check. “For the first time in its 85-year history, the California Public Employees Retirement System, CalPERS, is drastically cutting benefits for public retirees. Starting January 1st, four retired City of Loyalton public employees will have their pensions cut 60 percent. For 71-year-old Patsy Jardin, that means her pension will drop from about $49,000 a year to a little more than $19,000.”
http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2016/12/20/calpers-cuts-pension-benefits-for-first-time.html

Fidelity is correct about 95% to the time. Saturday I called (800-fidelity) since the list of current fund distribution was not current. The rep told me I was looking at the wrong list and to look at a list of all estimated year end distributions which was was updated to reflect current distributions. It was not. Then he explained that the distributions had not been determined and the list would be updated when the distributions were determined – a absolute lie since you could look at every fund and see the what the distribution was. I just did not want to look up 120 funds. So I gave up.
I called Monday morning the guy said he would have it researched. But he did not lie to me.
I called Tuesday evening and the lady talked to another rep and determined they did not know who did it but would get it done and provide me with progress reports and they did not lie to me.
On the first call I gave my userid/password and ended up with a rep in the active trading group (ATG). EVERY call I’ve ever made when the ATG answers has resulted in an arogent SOB who thinks he knows everything, will tell me anything to get me off the call, and/or lies to me. When I have not identified myself, I have always gotten satisfactory service. I just forgot and put my uerid/pwasword on the first call this time.

“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com:
On Friday, 16Nov, the short term outlook is bearish, intermediate term is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral to bullish – expecting a short term pull back.

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 87.84, 50 day MA of 84.11, a 200 day MA of 81.41, and a 7% stop loss is 82.18. This is not an investment to buy and hold.

IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest. Except none of the top 20 out of 120 funds I follow is a buy.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 32.03, a sell price 30.82, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 52.18)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 95.87, a sell price 91.08, a rank of 05, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 67.43)
SComputers has a price of 75.07, a sell price 71.73, a rank of 24, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 115.86)
STransportation has a price of 91.20, a sell price 88.92, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.76)
SNaturalGas has a price of 29.93, a sell price 28.43, a rank of 03, and is a Buy. (ETF – XES – current stoploss 21.70)
Generally I would be selling SComputers since it is not one of the top 20, however none of the top 20 have had an increasing deviation for two weeks.
Some sell prices and stoplosses have been adjusted to reflect distributions.

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
22.05 01-09 FSRBX 32.03 SBanking
16.51 02-03 FSESX 55.42 SEnergyService
15.74 03-05 FSNGX 29.93 SNaturalGas
14.70 04-06 FIDSX 98.90 SFinancialServices
14.45 05-24 FSELX 95.87 SSemiconductors
14.43 06-05 FCPEX 14.32 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
14.04 07-07 FSRFX 91.20 STransportation
13.93 08-07 FSAIX 75.04 SAirTransportation
13.92 09-06 FSLBX 68.40 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.66 10-05 FSENX 47.50 SEnergy
12.65 11-06 FARNX 12.95 EventDrivenOpportunities
11.34 12-06 FSVLX 13.46 SConsumerFinance
10.35 13-06 FSPCX 77.49 SInsurance
10.14 14-03 FNARX 30.93 SNaturalResources
10.06 15-01 FCYIX 32.42 SIndustrials
9.84 16-01 FSDCX 33.20 SCommunicationsEquipment
9.61 17-06 FLCSX 29.59 LargeCapStock
9.43 18-03 FSCHX 149.19 SChemicals
9.24 19-02 FDSCX 26.20 StockSelectorSmallCap
8.95 20-08 FSDAX 129.08 SDefense&Aerospace
Last week:
25.07 01-08 FSRBX 32.69 SBanking
18.21 02-04 FSNGX 30.44 SNaturalGas Yes
18.00 03-02 FSESX 55.64 SEnergyService Yes
17.91 04-06 FSRFX 95.42 STransportation
17.62 05-05 FSLBX 70.97 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
16.91 06-06 FSAIX 76.94 SAirTransportation
16.68 07-04 FCPEX 14.49 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
16.60 08-05 FIDSX 100.76 SFinancialServices
16.03 09-05 FARNX 13.25 EventDrivenOpportunities
14.93 10-23 FSELX 95.54 SSemiconductors
14.51 11-04 FSENX 48.16 SEnergy Yes
14.08 12-05 FSVLX 13.92 SConsumerFinance
12.31 13-02 FNARX 31.47 SNaturalResources Yes
12.00 14-07 FSDAX 137.68 SDefense&Aerospace
11.50 15-01 FDSCX 26.61 StockSelectorSmallCap
11.40 16-05 FSPCX 78.63 SInsurance
11.32 17-02 FFGCX 11.56 GlobalCommodity Stock Yes
11.19 18-02 FSCHX 157.91 SChemicals Yes
11.12 19-01 FSSPX 18.99 SmallCapIndex – IC
10.76 20-05 FLCSX 29.75 LargeCapStock

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Sep16 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+32% 12m+23% 24m+9% 36m+22% 60m52% 120m+6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SNaturalGas(FSNGX)(12Dec16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Sep16 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+13% 12m+7% 24m+9% 36m+8% 60m+20% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

Next weekend I expect to be out of town and unable to produce this report until the following Wednesday. Make sure your watch your investments and remember that a distribution of $1.00 will decrease the price by $1.00 so the sell price needs to be decreased also.

I’ve said that the FED pumping money into the market is like holding a match under the thermostat during cold weather. The numbers go higher but it does nothing about the economy or the real temperature – the economy is still bad and you are still cold. This is an interesting article about The FED’s actions.
http://investmentresearchdynamics.com/party-like-its-1999-the-stock-market-is-a-propaganda-tool/ “This does not end well.”

Chuck Jaffe on his MoneyLife show on 09Dec featured an interview with Martin Pring of Pring Research where Pring indicates that he is quite bullish for the next 6 months. On the show for 08Dec Jaffe interviewed author David Scranton of Sound Income Strategies whose book is “Return on Principle: 7 Core Values to Help Protect Your Money in Good Times and Bad.” Scranton indicated in the interview that in 2007 he worked  to get his clients out of the market and in many ways today’s market is 2007 all over again. He says if we do not have a 30% drop from today’s level we will be breaking three world records regarding previous stock market actions. He indicates the DJIA could hit 20k first but it also could be a 70% drop. The drop will last between 12 to 36 months. He does not know what trigger will start this drop or how soon it will start.

“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com:
On Friday, 09Nov, the short term outlook is neutral to bullish, intermediate term is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral to bullish –
improving but expecting a short term pull back.

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 88.51, 50 day MA of 83.59, a 200 day MA of 81.08, and a 7% stop loss is 82.51. This is not an investment to buy and hold.

IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed Uptrend” as of 08Dec. Time to invest.
I am really not sure how long the market “Trump Bump” will last but will stay with it for now.

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 32.69, a sell price 31.06, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 52.11)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 95.54, a sell price 90.76, a rank of 10, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 67.01)
SComputers has a price of 80.28, a sell price 76.27, a rank of 25, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 112.94)
STransportation has a price of 95.42, a sell price 90.65, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 52.84)
SNaturalGas has a price of 30.44, a sell price TBD, a rank of 02, and is a Buy. (ETF – XES – current stoploss TBD)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – purchase SNaturalGas

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
25.07 01-08 FSRBX 32.69 SBanking
18.21 02-04 FSNGX 30.44 SNaturalGas Yes
18.00 03-02 FSESX 55.64 SEnergyService Yes
17.91 04-06 FSRFX 95.42 STransportation
17.62 05-05 FSLBX 70.97 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
16.91 06-06 FSAIX 76.94 SAirTransportation
16.68 07-04 FCPEX 14.49 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
16.60 08-05 FIDSX 100.76 SFinancialServices
16.03 09-05 FARNX 13.25 EventDrivenOpportunities
14.93 10-23 FSELX 95.54 SSemiconductors
14.51 11-04 FSENX 48.16 SEnergy Yes
14.08 12-05 FSVLX 13.92 SConsumerFinance
12.31 13-02 FNARX 31.47 SNaturalResources Yes
12.00 14-07 FSDAX 137.68 SDefense&Aerospace
11.50 15-01 FDSCX 26.61 StockSelectorSmallCap
11.40 16-05 FSPCX 78.63 SInsurance
11.32 17-02 FFGCX 11.56 GlobalCommodity Stock Yes
11.19 18-02 FSCHX 157.91 SChemicals Yes
11.12 19-01 FSSPX 18.99 SmallCapIndex – IC
10.76 20-05 FLCSX 29.75 LargeCapStock
Last week:
19.91 01-07 FSRBX 30.93 SBanking
16.61 02-03 FSNGX 29.74 SNaturalGas Yes
14.29 03-01 FSESX 53.38 SEnergyService Yes
14.27 04-05 FSRFX 91.60 STransportation
13.69 05-03 FSENX 47.45 SEnergy Yes
13.42 06-05 FSAIX 73.98 SAirTransportation
13.40 07-04 FSLBX 67.79 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.17 08-06 FSDAX 137.02 SDefense&Aerospace
11.93 09-04 FIDSX 95.88 SFinancialServices
11.71 10-01 FNARX 31.10 SNaturalResources Yes
10.50 11-04 FCPEX 13.69 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
9.86 12-03 FARNX 12.44 EventDrivenOpportunities
9.73 13-22 FSELX 90.50 SSemiconductors
8.84 14-04 FSPCX 76.36 SInsurance
8.71 15-01 FFGCX 11.39 GlobalCommodity Stock Yes
8.22 16-01 FSCHX 152.79 SChemicals Yes
7.99 17-04 FSVLX 13.08 SConsumerFinance
7.61 18-02 FSCGX 41.57 SIndustrialEquipment
7.57 19-04 FLCSX 28.73 LargeCapStock
7.41 20-0 FLVEX 11.93 LargeCapValueEnchncedIndex
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Sep16 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+32% 12m+23% 24m+9% 36m+22% 60m52% 120m+6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SNaturalGas(FSNGX)(12Dec16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Sep16 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+13% 12m+7% 24m+9% 36m+8% 60m+20% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%

So how is the rest of the world doing – like China.
http://video.vanityfair.com/watch/the-new-establishment-summit-disrupting-the-global-economy   
Within the video based on the economic numbers China is publishing, one guest calls China “The People’s Republic of Madoff.”

My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 85.58, 50 day MA of 83.15, a 200 day MA of 80.70, and a 7% stop loss is 80.28. This is not an investment to buy and hold.

IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Uptrend under pressure” as of 01Dec. Not a time to invest.
Not a good week in the market. My feeling is the excitement the market felt after the election is succumbing to reality and there is a greater potential for the markets to go down than up. The market is starting the 8th and longest uptrend in history, interest rates are up causing losses for bond buyers, the FED is going to raise interest rates (the last time they did this the market took almost a 20% hit), and just slightly more than half the stocks on the NYSE are above their 50 day moving average. IBD suggests investors “cut losses at 7% or 8%. You don’t want to see a loss grow to the point where you become the accidental long-term investor. Collecting mistakes is not a strategy.”

My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 30.93, a sell price 29.38, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 49.72)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 90.50, a sell price 89.62, a rank of 13, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 66.69)
SComputers has a price of 76.85, a sell price 73.98, a rank of 34, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 112.20)
STransportation has a price of 91.60, a sell price 87.02, a rank of 04, and is a hold. (ETF – XTN – current stoploss 50.47)

My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None

My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
19.91 01-07 FSRBX 30.93 SBanking
16.61 02-03 FSNGX 29.74 SNaturalGas Yes
14.29 03-01 FSESX 53.38 SEnergyService Yes
14.27 04-05 FSRFX 91.60 STransportation
13.69 05-03 FSENX 47.45 SEnergy Yes
13.42 06-05 FSAIX 73.98 SAirTransportation
13.40 07-04 FSLBX 67.79 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
12.17 08-06 FSDAX 137.02 SDefense&Aerospace
11.93 09-04 FIDSX 95.88 SFinancialServices
11.71 10-01 FNARX 31.10 SNaturalResources Yes
10.50 11-04 FCPEX 13.69 SmallCapEnchancedIndex
9.86 12-03 FARNX 12.44 EventDrivenOpportunities
9.73 13-22 FSELX 90.50 SSemiconductors
8.84 14-04 FSPCX 76.36 SInsurance
8.71 15-01 FFGCX 11.39 GlobalCommodity Stock Yes
8.22 16-01 FSCHX 152.79 SChemicals Yes
7.99 17-04 FSVLX 13.08 SConsumerFinance
7.61 18-02 FSCGX 41.57 SIndustrialEquipment
7.57 19-04 FLCSX 28.73 LargeCapStock
7.41 20-0 FLVEX 11.93 LargeCapValueEnchncedIndex
Last week:
20.21 01-06 FSRBX 30.68 SBanking Yes
14.97 02-21 FSELX 95.49 SSemiconductors Yes
14.94 03-04 FSRFX 91.45 STransportation Yes
14.34 04-04 FSAIX 74.05 SAirTransportation Yes
13.77 05-03 FSLBX 67.53 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
13.07 06-03 FCPEX 13.93 SmallCapEnchancedIndex Yes
12.82 07-05 FSDAX 136.93 SDefense&Aerospace
12.23 08-03 FIDSX 95.53 SFinancialServices Yes
10.99 09-02 FSNGX 28.06 SNaturalGas Yes
10.82 10-03 FARNX 12.62 EventDrivenOpportunities Yes
10.15 11-03 FSPCX 76.92 SInsurance Yes
9.94 12-03 FSVLX 13.26 SConsumerFinance Yes
9.86 13-03 FSLEX 22.63 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy Yes
9.70 14-05 FDSCX 26.34 StockSelectorSmallCap Yes
9.19 15-19 FSDCX 32.86 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
9.04 16-02 FSENX 45.18 SEnergy Yes
8.46 17-03 FCPGX 21.02 SmallCapGrowth Yes
8.45 18-03 FLCSX 29.47 LargeCapStock Yes
8.43 19-02 FSEMX 57.44 ExtendedMarketIndex – IC Yes
8.06 20-01 FSCGX 41.58 SIndustrialEquipment

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Sep16 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+32% 12m+23% 24m+9% 36m+22% 60m52% 120m+6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(10Nov16) from SEnergyService(FSESX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Sep16 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+13% 12m+7% 24m+9% 36m+8% 60m+20% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%