Returns for the month of October were down.
In October IRA#1 -8%, IRA#2 -5%, PDP PIE PIZ DWAS -5%, QQQ -1%, SPY/RSP -2%, DWTR -5%.
For the last 3 months, IRA#1 -6%, IRA#2 -6%, PDPetc -5%, QQQ 2%, SPY/RSP -2%, DWTR -12%.
For the last 6 months, IRA#1 -1%, IRA#2 4%, PDPetc -3%, QQQ 7%, SPY/RSP -2%, DWTR -3%.
October portfolio changes:
IRA#1 – Sold FSMEX 10/31 – Invested in cash
IRA#2 – Purchased FDCPX 10/03, FSESX 10/10, Sold FSMEX 10/13 – Invested in FSELX, FSNGX, FDCPX, FSESX, cash
PDP PIE PIZ DWAS – Purchased DWAS 10/03, Sold PDP 10/03, PIZ 10/27, DWAS 10/27, – Invested in PDP, cash
QQQ – None – Invested in QQQ
SPY/RSP – NONE – Invested in RSP
DWTR – Purchased DWTR 10/03 – Invested in DWTR
“The DecisionPoint Report” from Stockcharts.com:
On Friday, 04Nov, the short term outlook is bearish, intermediate term outlook is bearish, long term outlook is neutral.
On Friday, 11Nov, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is bearish, long term outlook is neutral.
On Friday, 18Nov, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral.
On Friday, 23Nov, the short term outlook is neutral, intermediate term outlook is neutral to bullish, long term outlook is neutral.
Sort of getting better, slowly – no 25Nov report.
My S&P500 is in RSP (SPY EW) which has a price of 86.32, 50 day MA of 82.84, a 200 day MA of 80.32, and a 7% stop loss is 80.28. However this is not an investment to buy and hold.
IBD TBP’s Market Pulse is “Confirmed uptrend” as of 09Nov. Time to invest. This current rally is just based on FED money printing and hope things get better. The Fed will probably raise short term interest rates in December and reality should replace hope soon. However it is good while it lasts.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2
SBanking has a price of 30.68, a sell price 29.15, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – KRE- current stoploss 48.64)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 95.49, a sell price 90.72, a rank of 02, and is a hold. ( ETF – SMH – current stoploss 66.69)
SComputers has a price of 77.59, a sell price 73.98, a rank of 31, and is a hold for now. (ETF – SOXX – current stoploss 112.20)
STransportation has a price of 91.45, a sell price TBD, a rank of 03, and is a Buy. (ETF – XTN)
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – purchase 20% STransportation
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
20.21 01-06 FSRBX 30.68 SBanking Yes
14.97 02-21 FSELX 95.49 SSemiconductors Yes
14.94 03-04 FSRFX 91.45 STransportation Yes
14.34 04-04 FSAIX 74.05 SAirTransportation Yes
13.77 05-03 FSLBX 67.53 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
13.07 06-03 FCPEX 13.93 SmallCapEnchancedIndex Yes
12.82 07-05 FSDAX 136.93 SDefense&Aerospace
12.23 08-03 FIDSX 95.53 SFinancialServices Yes
10.99 09-02 FSNGX 28.06 SNaturalGas Yes
10.82 10-03 FARNX 12.62 EventDrivenOpportunities Yes
10.15 11-03 FSPCX 76.92 SInsurance Yes
9.94 12-03 FSVLX 13.26 SConsumerFinance Yes
9.86 13-03 FSLEX 22.63 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy Yes
9.70 14-05 FDSCX 26.34 StockSelectorSmallCap Yes
9.19 15-19 FSDCX 32.86 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
9.04 16-02 FSENX 45.18 SEnergy Yes
8.46 17-03 FCPGX 21.02 SmallCapGrowth Yes
8.45 18-03 FLCSX 29.47 LargeCapStock Yes
8.43 19-02 FSEMX 57.44 ExtendedMarketIndex – IC Yes
8.06 20-01 FSCGX 41.58 SIndustrialEquipment
Last week:
19.72 01-05 FSRBX 30.23 SBanking Yes
13.61 02-03 FSRFX 89.68 STransportation Yes
13.21 03-02 FSLBX 66.71 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement Yes
13.03 04-20 FSELX 93.14 SSemiconductors Yes
12.87 05-03 FSAIX 72.55 SAirTransportation Yes
11.75 06-02 FIDSX 94.51 SFinancialServices Yes
10.74 07-02 FCPEX 13.55 SmallCapEnchancedIndex Yes
10.33 08-04 FSDAX 133.01 SDefense&Aerospace
9.74 09-02 FSPCX 76.23 SInsurance Yes
8.97 10-01 FSNGX 27.39 SNaturalGas Yes
8.82 11-18 FSDCX 32.59 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
8.77 12-02 FSVLX 13.05 SConsumerFinance Yes
8.63 13-02 FARNX 12.30 EventDrivenOpportunities Yes
8.00 14-04 FDSCX 25.80 StockSelectorSmallCap Yes
7.53 15-02 FLCSX 29.09 LargeCapStock Yes
7.49 16-16 FDCPX 77.69 SComputers Yes
7.46 17-02 FSLEX 22.02 SEnvironmental&AltEnergy Yes
7.08 18-02 FCPGX 20.66 SmallCapGrowth Yes
6.75 19-01 FSENX 44.02 SEnergy Yes
6.58 20-01 FSEMX 56.21 ExtendedMarketIndex – IC Yes
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-8% 3m-6% 6m-1% 12m+10% 24m+6% 36m+11% 60m44% 120m-1%
Sep16 1m+1% 3m+8% 6m+32% 12m+23% 24m+9% 36m+22% 60m52% 120m+6%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – STransportation(FSRFX)(28Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SBanking(FSRBX)(21Nov16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(10Nov16) from SEnergyService(FSESX)
20% – SComputers(FDCPX)(03Oct16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(08Aug16) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Oct16 1m-5% 3m-6% 6m+4% 12m+1% 24m+7% 36m+4% 60m+15% 120m+17%
Sep16 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+13% 12m+7% 24m+9% 36m+8% 60m+20% 120m+20%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%