Another almost good week, time to do nothing. The sum of all the deviations has been 799, 825, and now 810.
The number of funds I rate as buy over the last 3 weeks has been 49, 37, and now 10.
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it” George Santayana.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBJ-p0ybhzs&t=56s
In the podcast which talks about this video, Adventures in Finance “38 – Black Monday: First Hand Accounts of the 87 Crash”, one of the those interviewed indicated he felt the bankruptcy of the Illinois state pension plan would be the item which starts the crash this time.
My S&P500 investment is in RSP (S&P500 EqualWeighted) which has a price of 96.54, 50 day MA of 93.85, a 200 day MA of 91.23, and a 7% stop loss is 89.92.
My current investments:
IRA#1 and IRA#2 – STechnology has a price of 184.88, a sell price 175.45, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – CQQQ – stoploss 56.40)
IRA#2
SSemiconductors has a price of 115.90, a sell price 110.11, a rank of of 12, and is a hold. (ETF – PSI stoploss 49.72)
ChinaRegion has a price of 34.47, a sell price 32.75, a rank of 01, and is a hold. (ETF – CXSE- stoploss 77.22 )
EmergingMarketsIndex – IC has a price of 11.21, a sell price 10.72, and a rank of 06, and is a hold. (ETF – EEMO – stoploss 19.64)
SBiotechnology – has a price of 227.58, a sell price 223.65, a rank of 30, and is a hold until a buy day happens. (ETF – SBIO – stoploss 29.69)
My portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None
My portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 100% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev
increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
14.79 01-24 FHKCX 34.47 ChinaReqion
14.42 02-13 FSDAX 166.92 SDefense&Aerospace
13.93 03-39 FSPTX 184.68 STechnology
13.23 04-22 FSEAX 43.40 EmergingAsia
12.66 05-06 FSCHX 181.89 SChemicals
12.42 06-16 FPEMX 11.21 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC
12.33 07-04 FSELX 115.90 SSemiconductors
12.18 08-02 FPBFX 35.18 PacificBasin
12.00 09-05 FSVLX 15.58 SConsumerFinance
11.46 10-03 FBSOX 53.53 SITServices Yes
11.36 11-05 FSAIX 87.55 SAirTransportation
11.28 12-01 FSCSX 166.50 SSoftware&ITServices Yes
11.16 13-04 FCPGX 24.61 SmallCapGrowth
11.15 14-11 FLATX 26.14 LatinAmerica
11.11 15-09 FFGCX 12.62 GlobalCommodityStock
10.99 16-29 FEMKX 31.33 EmergingMarkets
10.75 17-04 FSLBX 81.11 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.36 18-26 FDSVX 32.58 Growth Discovery
10.30 19-03 FSDPX 91.92 SMaterials
10.22 20-01 FOCPX 106.72 OTCPortfolio
Last week
15.52 01-23 FHKCX 34.42 ChinaReqion Yes
14.34 02-38 FSPTX 183.99 STechnology Yes
14.18 03-12 FSDAX 165.31 SDefense&Aerospace
13.87 04-15 FPEMX 11.28 EmergingMarketsIndex – IC Yes
13.45 05-05 FSCHX 181.95 SChemicals
13.37 06-21 FSEAX 43.15 EmergingAsia Yes
13.30 07-10 FLATX 26.49 LatinAmerica
12.51 08-01 FPBFX 35.06 PacificBasin Yes
12.47 09-08 FFGCX 12.70 GlobalCommodityStock Yes
12.37 10-03 FSELX 115.18 SSemiconductors Yes
12.28 11-28 FEMKX 31.51 EmergingMarkets Yes
11.79 12-04 FSAIX 87.36 SAirTransportation Yes
11.35 13-08 FBIOX 231.35 SBiotechnology
11.13 14-03 FCPGX 24.46 SmallCapGrowth
11.11 15-02 FBSOX 53.04 SITServices Yes
10.88 16-03 FSLBX 80.75 SBrokerageandInvestmentManagement
10.86 17-01 FISMX 29.84 InternationalSmallCap
10.62 18-25 FDSVX 32.48 Growth Discovery
10.58 19-02 FSDPX 91.66 SMaterials Yes
10.55 20-04 FSVLX 15.28 SConsumerFinance
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+4% 3m+7% 6m+5% 12m+9% 24m+33% 36m+17% 60m+93% 120m-8%
Jul17 1m+5% 3m+8% 6m+5% 12m+6% 24m+7% 36m+17% 60m+81% 120m-18%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – ChinaRegion(FHKCX)(16Oct17) from OTCPortfolio(FOCPX)
20% – SSemiconductors(FSELX)(09Oct17) from SComputers(FDCPX)
20% – SBiotechnology(FBIOX)(05Sep17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – EmergingMarketsIndex – IC(FPEMX)(24Jul17) from CashResrves(FDRXX)
20% – STechnology(FSPTX)(01May17) from CashReserves(FDRXX)
Aug17 1m+2% 3m+1% 6m+3% 12m+10% 24m+17% 36m+17% 60m+28% 120m+20%
Jul17 1m+1% 3m+2% 6m+5% 12m+5% 24m+7% 36m+16% 60m+25% 120m+22%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%