A down week, not a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 441, 392, and now 381 – not up 2 weeks in a row.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 23, 13, and now 11.
Not much going on this week. Some things up, some things down. My numbers suggest no buying for the next two weeks.
Last week I listed 6 stocks Tracey Ryniec mentioned on a podcast. After two weeks they are up HCA 1.1%, M -7.5%, PCMI -1.7%, EVTC 3.8%, OFG 7.0%, and FBC -0.3%. If all 6 has been purchase in equal amounts the gain of the portfolio was 2.7 compared to last week of 2.1%.
From the 15Aug Felder Report: “Over the past few weeks the Nasdaq has triggered a total of five Hindenburg Omens. As I wrote back in November, the last time the Nasdaq saw a cluster of signals like this, “The ‘Hindenburg Omen’ was developed by Jim Miekka as a warning of a stock market crash. While it’s not very effective in this regard it can be very useful in assessing the overall strength of an uptrend.” Review the report at https://thefelderreport.com/2018/08/15/the-nasdaq-triggers-another-breadth-warning/
IRA#1
SRetailing has a price of 15.91, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
IRA#2
SITServices has a price of 64.42 a sell price 61.24, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – XWEB – stopped out 28Jun, XITK – stopped out on 27Jun)
SRetailing has a price of 15.91, a sell price 15.19, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – XRT, PEZ)
SSoftware&ITServices has a price of 19.24, a sell price 18.64, a rank of 07, and is a hold. (ETF – ARKW & FDN – stopped out on 30Jul)
My mutual fund portfolio changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – None
IRA #2 – None
My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 60% invested
The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing last 2 weeks).
This week:
12.65 01-10 FSHCX 102.57 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.61 02-40 FSRPX 15.91 SRetailing
9.92 03-32 FBSOX 64.42 SITServices Yes
9.34 04-30 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth
9.31 05-01 FRXIX 16.20 RealEstateIndex – Inv
8.63 06-10 FSPHX 25.93 SHealthCare
8.37 07-30 FSCSX 19.24 SSoftware&ITServices
8.36 08-04 FSMEX 52.49 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.97 09-03 FSRFX 104.75 STransportation
7.76 10-06 FSUIX 15.04 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.53 11-19 FOCPX 12.75 OTCPortfolio
7.52 12-03 FDCPX 99.45 SComputers
7.51 13-19 FTQGX 26.26 FocusedStock
7.37 14-19 FBGRX 101.28 BlueChipGrowth
7.23 15-03 FLGEX 21.00 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex
7.18 16-10 FNCMX 103.10 NasdaqCompositeIndex
6.99 17-01 FSDCX 38.88 SCommunicationsEquipment Yes
6.93 18-11 FSCPX 46.15 SConsumerDiscretionary
6.86 19-01 FSUTX 88.82 SUtilities
6.78 20-01 FDSCX 29.69 StockSelectorSmallCap
Last Week
11.79 01-39 FSRPX 15.99 SRetailing
10.82 02-09 FSHCX 100.23 SHealthCareServices Yes
10.26 03-29 FSCSX 19.49 SSoftware&ITServices
9.88 04-29 FCPGX 29.59 SmallCapGrowth Yes
9.60 05-31 FBSOX 63.90 SITServices
9.31 06-18 FOCPX 12.91 OTCPortfolio Yes
9.03 07-18 FBGRX 102.45 BlueChipGrowth Yes
8.60 08-09 FSPHX 25.81 SHealthCare
8.27 09-18 FTQGX 26.34 FocusedStock
8.03 10-03 FSMEX 52.10 SMedicalTechnologyandDevices
7.91 11-05 FSUIX 15.00 LargeCapGrowthIndex – Inv
7.86 12-09 FNCMX 103.36 NasdaqCompositeIndex Yes
7.70 13-10 FSCPX 46.31 SConsumerDiscretionary
7.36 14-05 FDSVX 36.23 Growth Discovery
7.34 15-05 FCNTX 13.73 Contrafund
7.28 16-02 FLGEX 20.93 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex Yes
7.10 17-01 FTRNX 109.96 Trend
6.98 18-02 FSRFX 103.35 STransportation
6.78 19-02 FDCPX 98.37 SComputers
6.75 20-09 FBMPX 78.80 SMultimedia
IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18)
Jun18 1m-3% 3m+0% 6m-0% 12m+17% 24m+25% 36m+13% 60m+55% 120m-2%
May18 1m+2% 3m+3% 6m+2% 12m+18% 24m+36% 36m+10% 60m+59% 120m+4%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SSoftware&ITServices(FSCSX)(16Jul18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(18Jun18) from SEnergy(FSENX)(13Apr18)
20% – SRetailing(FSRPX)(11Jun18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(05Mar18)
20% – SITServices(FBSOX)(14May18) from CashReserves(FDRXX)(12Feb18)
20% – CashReserves(FDRXX)(02Apr18) from EmergingEuropeMiddleEastAfrica(FEMEX)(29Jan18)
Jun18 1m-0% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+6% 24m+16% 36m+11% 60m+25% 120m+25%
May18 1m+1% 3m+1% 6m-1% 12m+4% 24m+23% 36m+11% 60m+23% 120m+40%
Average annual return since 1/82 11%