14 August 2020

A good week, a buy week. The sum of all the deviations has been 917, 1116, and now 1118 – up 2 weeks in a row – a buy week.
The number of funds I rate as a buy over the last 3 weeks has been 41, 60, and now 43.
Another thing to consider is the last time my sum of deviations went over 1000, the market started a decline within about 6 weeks.

Pacer Trendpilot ETFs offer funds which switch to T-Bills anytime the index they follow declines below the index 200 day average.
Currently their holdings are:
PTLC Pacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF follow the S&P500 index and is 100% in equities as of 03Jun.
PTMC Pacer Trendpilot US Mid Cap ETF follows the S&P MidCap 400 index and is 100% in equities as of 23Jul.
PTNQ Pacer Trendpilot 100 ETF follows the NASDAQ-100 index and is 100% invested in equities as of 17Apr.
I am currently invested in PTNQ.

So I had two problems with last week’s report. Fidelity failed to update the distribution list so the numbers were slightly off.
Also DisruptiveTechnology is a relative new fund so Fidelity limits the amount to invest. I have a 403b which does not even allow that fund, so I purchased OTCPortfolio.
In additon we are within 3 months of the presidential election – a time to watch your investment closely!!

IRA#1
BlueChipGrowth has a price of 142.35 a sell price 135.23, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – IWF, VONG)

IRA#2
BlueChipGrowth has a price of 142.35, a sell price 135.23, a rank of 02, and is a hold. (ETF – IWF, VONG)
EmergingAsia has a price of 58.92, a sell price 56.78, a rank of 03, and is a hold. (ETF – FNI, SMIN)
DisruptiveTechnology has a price of 14.25, a sell price 13.54, a rank of 05, and is a hold. (ETF – SOXX, SMH)
SEnergyServices has a price of 13.49, a sell price TBD, a rank of 04, and is a buy. (ETF – XOP, FXN)

My investment changes this weekend:
IRA #1 – none
IRA #2 – Invest 20% in SEnergyServices

My mutual fund portfolio market exposure after this weekend’s changes:
IRA #1 – 100% invested
IRA #2 – 80% invested

The top 20 (out of 100+ I follow) Fidelity funds (percent deviation, rank & weeks on top 20 list, fund symbol, fund price, fund name, and %dev increasing for last 2 weeks).
22.56 01-20 FSAGX 33.32 SGold NO
22.38 02-18 FBGRX 142.35 BlueChipGrowth NO
22.21 03-10 FSEAX 58.92 EmergingAsia NO
22.12 04-02 FSESX 13.49 SEnergyServices YES
21.77 05-04 FTEKX 14.25 DisruptiveTechnology NO
21.54 06-29 FSPTX 25.41 STechnology NO
20.27 07-11 FSRPX 21.01 SRetailing YES
20.13 08-23 FOCPX 16.06 OTCPortfolio NO
19.48 09-06 FTRNX 134.60 Trend NO
18.84 10-11 FNCMX 139.00 NasdaqCompositeIndex NO
18.77 11-15 FHKCX 48.66 ChinaRegion NO
17.32 12-13 FTQGX 31.37 FocusedStock NO
17.15 13-18 FIFNX 14.77 Founders NO
17.03 14-01 FSAVX 38.78 SAutomotive YES
16.69 15-01 FSCPX 57.04 SConsumerDiscretionary YES
16.66 16-09 FLGEX 25.87 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex NO
16.62 17-13 FDSVX 47.43 GrowthDiscovery NO
15.97 18-02 FWWFX 32.68 Worldwide NO
15.72 19-09 FCNTX 16.29 Contrafund NO
15.45 20-01 FSHOX 66.19 SConstructionandHousing YES
Last Week
30.92 01-19 FSAGX 35.17 SGold NO
29.40 02-03 FTEKX 14.97 DisruptiveTechnology YES
25.44 03-09 FSEAX 59.77 EmergingAsia NO
23.79 04-17 FBGRX 142.29 BlueChipGrowth NO
23.61 05-28 FSPTX 25.55 STechnology NO
20.88 06-22 FOCPX 15.99 OTCPortfolio YES
20.25 07-05 FTRNX 134.07 Trend NO
19.91 08-14 FHKCX 48.64 ChinaRegion NO
19.08 09-10 FSRPX 20.58 SRetailing YES
18.86 10-17 FIFNX 14.85 Founders NO
18.52 11-01 FSESX 12.94 SEnergyServices YES
17.88 12-12 FDSVX 47.52 GrowthDiscovery NO
17.84 13-12 FTQGX 31.22 FocusedStock NO
17.46 14-01 FFIDX 58.57 Fidelity YES
17.38 15-08 FLGEX 25.80 LargeCapGrowthEnhancedIndex NO
17.19 16-08 FCNTX 16.36 Contrafund NO
16.98 17-10 FNCMX 135.47 NasdaqCompositeIndex NO
16.47 18-08 FSCSX 24.13 SSoftware&ITServices NO
16.14 19-01 FDCAX 39.26 CapitalAppreciation YES
16.09 20-01 FWWFX 32.44 Worldwide YES

IRA#1 is currently invested in:
100% – BlueChipGrowth(FBGRX)(01Jun20) from Cash(23Mar20)
Mar20 1m-21% 3m-31% 6m-17% 12m-17% 24m-25%
IRA#2 is currently invested in:
20% – SEnergyServices(FSESX)(17Aug20) from Cash(20Mar20)
20% – BlueChipGrowth(FBGRX)(01Jun20) from Cash(23Mar20)
20% – EmergingAsia(FSEAX)(13Jul20) from Cash(03Feb20)
20% – DisruptiveTechnology(FTEKX)(10Aug20) from Cash(03Feb20)
20% – Cash(02Mar20) from SWireless(21Oct19)
Mar20 1m-3% 3m-7% 6m-0% 12m+0% 24m-4%

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